TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Marud vs Pawel Slosarczyk 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Grzegorz Marud
Home
1.54
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113119911611––
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Slosarczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
1113119911611––
H2H Grzegorz Marud 6–5 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:37What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Marud
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marud 1433 vs Slosarczyk 1231
Marud
Wrong
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marud 60% vs Slosarczyk 40%
Marud
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marud 60% vs Slosarczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Marud +1 · Slosarczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Marud) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarud 1.54 / Slosarczyk 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Marud)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13168717
Marud1.54
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 131 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it87% 79 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it71% 105 of 149
Slosarczyk2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 106 of 346
Down 0–1, comes back13% 27 of 205
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarud5wins
AwaySlosarczyk5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarud66.7%4 of 6
AwaySlosarczyk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marud6Slosarczyk4n = 10Marud took 6 of 10
S2Marud6Slosarczyk4n = 10Marud took 6 of 10
S3Marud4Slosarczyk6n = 10Slosarczyk took 6 of 10
S4Marud4Slosarczyk2n = 6Marud took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarudSlosarczykM − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.733.1+2.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarudSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime654 / 1374 vs 337 / 88647.6%38%654 / 1374 vs 337 / 886Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarudMarud 1.54/Slosarczyk 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.2%
Marud · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slosarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 01:10G. Marud45111112113P. Slosarczyk341371041
LAug 24 · 19:30G. Marud175660P. Slosarczyk331111113
WAug 24 · 01:30G. Marud44111111113P. Slosarczyk33661381
LAug 23 · 19:30G. Marud229940P. Slosarczyk331111113
LJul 20 · 04:40G. Marud331175101P. Slosarczyk4281111123
WJul 19 · 22:40G. Marud3712311113P. Slosarczyk331011661
LDec 31 · 02:10G. Marud4211117672P. Slosarczyk43821111113
WSep 17 · 24:00G. Marud331111113P. Slosarczyk153930
WJun 24 · 22:50G. Marud331111113P. Slosarczyk175570
LJun 24 · 15:10G. Marud51101381192P. Slosarczyk481211113113
G. Marud10
LSep 21 · 21:30S. Szostok1.571115113G. Marud2.0261370WSep 21 · 19:10G. Marud1.861211118113P. Kurek1.8014511152LSep 21 · 18:20M. Sikon2.2081112113G. Marud1.571191061WSep 21 · 05:05G. Marud1.571111113O. Vincenec2.031580WSep 21 · 03:30G. Marud1.9011611123M. Baron1.802119101LSep 21 · 02:20G. Marud1.655860W. Urban1.901111113WSep 21 · 24:45G. Marud1.85971111113P. Adamus1.8511115932LSep 20 · 23:30G. Marud1.7711350P. Kurek1.931311113WSep 20 · 22:20P. Adamus1.7551341692G. Marud1.9511111114113WSep 20 · 21:30M. Baron1.9511115992G. Marud1.70361111113
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 21 · 19:30M. Sikon1.8011115113P. Slosarczyk1.90791181LSep 21 · 17:55M. Baron1.70111113113P. Slosarczyk2.00571591WSep 21 · 02:00M. Sikon1.8061060P. Slosarczyk1.901112113WSep 21 · 01:10R. Ogon2.854750P. Slosarczyk1.361111113LSep 21 · 24:25P. Slosarczyk2.15115941S. Szostok1.6091111113WSep 20 · 22:50P. Slosarczyk1.90111111113J. Nowak1.80135661WSep 20 · 22:00O. Sokolowski1.766101191P. Slosarczyk1.9511127113LSep 20 · 20:45P. Slosarczyk2.8591260S. Szostok1.361114113WSep 20 · 19:10P. Slosarczyk1.401211123R. Ogon2.75109100LSep 20 · 18:00P. Slosarczyk1.93791181O. Sokolowski1.7711118113
Upcoming Matches
G. Marud
P. Slosarczyk
Sep 21 · 21:55P. Slosarczyk2.40P. Kurek1.50—Sep 21 · 23:05P. Slosarczyk2.60S. Szostok1.41—Sep 21 · 23:50P. Slosarczyk2.02M. Baron1.58—Sep 22 · 01:10P. Slosarczyk1.87M. Sikon1.68—Sep 22 · 02:10P. Slosarczyk2.62S. Szostok1.37—Sep 22 · 03:55P. Slosarczyk2.39P. Kurek1.41—Sep 22 · 05:05P. Slosarczyk2.27G. Marud1.45—
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