TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511911411––
Sebastian Szostok
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:25 and never touched — 72.7% is still 72.7%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
72.7%
72.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
119511911411––
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 7–26 Sebastian Szostok Pawel Slosarczyk has won 7 of their 33 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Szostok beat Slosarczyk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-26 in 33
Szostok
Correct
gap of 19 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1220 vs Szostok 1429
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 208 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 60% vs Szostok 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 40% vs Szostok 60%
Szostok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk +2 · Szostok +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slosarczyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 2.15 / Szostok 1.60
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Szostok)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13166009
Slosarczyk2.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 103 of 339
Down 0–1, comes back13% 26 of 201
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 123
Szostok1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 330 of 512
Up 2–0, closes it94% 125 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it80% 212 of 266
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk1wins
AwaySzostok9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczyk0%0 of 3
AwaySzostok85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk3Szostok7n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S2Slosarczyk1Szostok9n = 10Szostok took 9 of 10
S3Slosarczyk3Szostok7n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S4Slosarczyk1Szostok4n = 5Szostok took 4 of 5
S5Slosarczyk1Szostok2n = 3Szostok took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlosarczykSzostokSlosarczyk − SzostokBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.939.8−9.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 881 vs 912 / 157338%58%335 / 881 vs 912 / 1573Avg sets wonper match1.72.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.340.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSlosarczyk 2.15/Szostok 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 20:45P. Slosarczyk2791260S. Szostok361114113
LAug 21 · 22:55P. Slosarczyk2312650S. Szostok361411113
LAug 21 · 16:55P. Slosarczyk3912351272S. Szostok5310111110113
LAug 10 · 04:40P. Slosarczyk175840S. Szostok331111113
LAug 9 · 22:40P. Slosarczyk29127551S. Szostok43101111113
LJul 28 · 11:00P. Slosarczyk185760S. Szostok331111113
LJul 28 · 04:55P. Slosarczyk409911111S. Szostok4111116133
LJul 15 · 13:30P. Slosarczyk185850S. Szostok331111113
WJul 15 · 07:20P. Slosarczyk43911111113S. Szostok4311571192
LJul 14 · 09:25P. Slosarczyk4511911772S. Szostok47711711113
P. Slosarczyk10
WSep 21 · 01:10R. Ogon2.854750P. Slosarczyk1.361111113WSep 20 · 22:50P. Slosarczyk1.90111111113J. Nowak1.80135661WSep 20 · 22:00O. Sokolowski1.766101191P. Slosarczyk1.9511127113LSep 20 · 20:45P. Slosarczyk2.8591260S. Szostok1.361114113WSep 20 · 19:10P. Slosarczyk1.401211123R. Ogon2.75109100LSep 20 · 18:00P. Slosarczyk1.93791181O. Sokolowski1.7711118113LSep 20 · 16:25P. Slosarczyk1.9561191282M. Sikon1.741161110113LSep 20 · 15:10P. Slosarczyk1.85511591J. Nowak1.8511711113LSep 19 · 17:05R. Wojcik1.77111311113P. Slosarczyk1.93715671LSep 19 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.82611110O. Sokolowski1.881113133
S. Szostok10
WSep 20 · 23:10O. Sokolowski2.607119151S. Szostok1.4111511173LSep 20 · 21:35M. Sikon2.371171111113S. Szostok1.5271181382WSep 20 · 20:45P. Slosarczyk2.8591260S. Szostok1.361114113LSep 20 · 19:35S. Szostok1.401158161J. Nowak2.7571111183WSep 20 · 18:25R. Ogon4.55811111132S. Szostok1.10118137113LSep 20 · 17:10O. Sokolowski2.6011712153S. Szostok1.4131110131WSep 20 · 15:35M. Sikon2.20512681S. Szostok1.57111011113LSep 18 · 14:20W. Urban2.251111113S. Szostok1.574980WSep 18 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.3881381492S. Szostok1.5311111112113WSep 18 · 11:25K. Hetnar1.836790S. Szostok1.831111113
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