TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13158435
Played Sep 19Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
1.82
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
61111131113––––
Oskar Sokolowski
Away
1.88
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:39 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeOskar Sokolowski to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
61111131113––––
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 9–4 Oskar Sokolowski Oskar Sokolowski has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Slosarczyk beat Sokolowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:39What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Slosarczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Slosarczyk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1245 vs Sokolowski 1278
Sokolowski
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 60% vs Sokolowski 20%
Slosarczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 30% vs Sokolowski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk +1 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 1.82 / Sokolowski 1.88
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sokolowski)+4.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13158435
Slosarczyk1.82
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 85 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it82% 59 of 72
Sokolowski1.88
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 74 of 242
Down 0–1, comes back18% 27 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk6wins
AwaySokolowski4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSlosarczyk leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczyk71.4%5 of 7
AwaySokolowski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk7Sokolowski3n = 10Slosarczyk took 7 of 10
S2Slosarczyk4Sokolowski6n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S3Slosarczyk4Sokolowski6n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S4Slosarczyk4Sokolowski5n = 9Sokolowski took 5 of 9
S5Slosarczyk4Sokolowski2n = 6Slosarczyk took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlosarczykSokolowskiSlosarczyk − SokolowskiBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.644.1−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 872 vs 128 / 38038.1%33.7%332 / 872 vs 128 / 380Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiSlosarczyk 1.82/Sokolowski 1.88
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk4011711113O. Sokolowski32511881
WSep 13 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk49119117113O. Sokolowski4791171192
LSep 13 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk36911160O. Sokolowski421113183
WSep 11 · 13:30P. Slosarczyk4111116133O. Sokolowski378711111
LSep 11 · 07:20P. Slosarczyk4511991152O. Sokolowski46911114113
WJun 17 · 01:25P. Slosarczyk44411117113O. Sokolowski4611881182
WJun 16 · 20:30P. Slosarczyk53118149113O. Sokolowski48911121152
LJun 9 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk31125861O. Sokolowski43101111113
WJun 9 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk531112910113O. Sokolowski48910111262
LApr 27 · 02:45P. Slosarczyk44511121152O. Sokolowski52119147113
P. Slosarczyk10
WSep 19 · 14:45J. Slawomir1.6057110P. Slosarczyk1.971111133LSep 19 · 13:30J. Badura1.6011411113P. Slosarczyk1.98911781WSep 19 · 11:55S. Sojka1.941111671P. Slosarczyk1.6313111113LSep 19 · 11:05S. Sojka1.9411118113P. Slosarczyk1.63771161WSep 19 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk1.8511711113O. Sokolowski1.80511881LSep 19 · 08:45R. Wojcik1.8011179113P. Slosarczyk1.903151161LSep 19 · 07:30J. Badura1.71912188113P. Slosarczyk2.001110161152LSep 19 · 05:55M. Adamus1.5011123113P. Slosarczyk2.158101191LSep 18 · 16:20P. Slosarczyk3.3011831152O. Jadach1.21911118113LSep 18 · 15:05P. Slosarczyk2.40119841R. Skotniczny1.4771111113
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 19 · 13:55S. Sojka1.91121011113O. Sokolowski1.801012781WSep 19 · 13:10J. Slawomir1.606960O. Sokolowski2.201111113LSep 19 · 11:30R. Wojcik1.67137911113O. Sokolowski2.10111111662LSep 19 · 10:40J. Badura1.681211113O. Sokolowski2.0510960LSep 19 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk1.8511711113O. Sokolowski1.80511881WSep 19 · 07:55M. Adamus1.50612711102O. Sokolowski2.401110116123LSep 19 · 07:10R. Wojcik1.60312711123O. Sokolowski2.101110115102WSep 19 · 05:30S. Sojka1.851316511102O. Sokolowski1.801514118123LSep 17 · 08:45P. Adamus1.381111123O. Sokolowski2.6567100WSep 17 · 07:35O. Sokolowski3.15711129113M. Lebek1.28116101132
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