TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13157714
Played Sep 19Finished
Stanislaw Sojka
Home
1.94
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113111611711––
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
1.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:30 and never touched — 77.3% is still 77.3%
Graded at full timeStanislaw Sojka to win
77.3%
77.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
1113111611711––
H2H Stanislaw Sojka 2–1 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Sojka beat Slosarczyk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (54%)
Slosarczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sojka 1398 vs Slosarczyk 1211
Sojka
Wrong
both rated, 187 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sojka 60% vs Slosarczyk 20%
Sojka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sojka 60% vs Slosarczyk 10%
Sojka
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sojka +1 · Slosarczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slosarczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 23% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slosarczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSojka 1.94 / Slosarczyk 1.63
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slosarczyk)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13157714
Sojka1.94
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Slosarczyk1.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 85 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it82% 59 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSojka2wins
AwaySlosarczyk1wins
Sojka leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sojka2Slosarczyk1n = 3Sojka took 2 of 3
S2Sojka2Slosarczyk1n = 3Sojka took 2 of 3
S3Sojka1Slosarczyk2n = 3Slosarczyk took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSojkaSlosarczykSojka − SlosarczykBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match34.732.0+2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSojkaSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 60 vs 330 / 86961.7%38%37 / 60 vs 330 / 869Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlosarczykSojka 1.94/Slosarczyk 1.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Slosarczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slosarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 19 · 11:05S. Sojka4111118113P. Slosarczyk31771161
WOct 12 · 13:30S. Sojka331111113P. Slosarczyk279990
LOct 12 · 07:30S. Sojka3071490P. Slosarczyk381116113
S. Sojka10
WSep 19 · 13:55S. Sojka1.91121011113O. Sokolowski1.801012781WSep 19 · 12:45R. Wojcik1.717860S. Sojka2.001111113WSep 19 · 11:05S. Sojka1.9411118113P. Slosarczyk1.63771161LSep 19 · 09:30S. Sojka1.8051161182R. Wojcik1.91115119113WSep 19 · 08:20S. Sojka1.71101111113J. Badura2.00128651WSep 19 · 06:45S. Sojka1.851113113M. Adamus1.8081190LSep 19 · 05:30S. Sojka1.851316511102O. Sokolowski1.801514118123LJan 3 · 05:40K. Juszczyk1.8313118113S. Sojka1.861181141WJan 3 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.405860S. Sojka1.501111113LJan 3 · 02:55R. Szymik1.611111113S. Sojka2.137750
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 19 · 13:30J. Badura1.6011411113P. Slosarczyk1.98911781LSep 19 · 11:05S. Sojka1.9411118113P. Slosarczyk1.63771161WSep 19 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk1.8511711113O. Sokolowski1.80511881LSep 19 · 08:45R. Wojcik1.8011179113P. Slosarczyk1.903151161LSep 19 · 07:30J. Badura1.71912188113P. Slosarczyk2.001110161152LSep 19 · 05:55M. Adamus1.5011123113P. Slosarczyk2.158101191LSep 18 · 16:20P. Slosarczyk3.3011831152O. Jadach1.21911118113LSep 18 · 15:05P. Slosarczyk2.40119841R. Skotniczny1.4771111113LSep 18 · 13:55P. Slosarczyk1.95912951W. Tobiasz1.76111011113LSep 18 · 12:45G. Wichowski1.45111111113P. Slosarczyk2.50713881
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