TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111169111210811
Mateusz Sikon
Away
1.74
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:22 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeMateusz Sikon to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
6111169111210811
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 3–7 Mateusz Sikon Pawel Slosarczyk has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Sikon
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Sikon
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1209 vs Sikon 1345
Sikon
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 20% vs Sikon 40%
Sikon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 30% vs Sikon 50%
Sikon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk -3 · Sikon -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sikon) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 1.95 / Sikon 1.74
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Sikon)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13163079
Slosarczyk1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 103 of 339
Down 0–1, comes back13% 26 of 201
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 123
Sikon1.74
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 56 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk3wins
AwaySikon7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSikon leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySikon87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk2Sikon8n = 10Sikon took 8 of 10
S2Slosarczyk3Sikon7n = 10Sikon took 7 of 10
S3Slosarczyk1Sikon9n = 10Sikon took 9 of 10
S4Slosarczyk1Sikon3n = 4Sikon took 3 of 4
S5Slosarczyk3Sikon0n = 3Slosarczyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlosarczykSikonSlosarczyk − SikonBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.539.2−6.7per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 875 vs 164 / 42637.9%38.5%332 / 875 vs 164 / 426Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.336.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikonSlosarczyk 1.95/Sikon 1.74
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Sikon · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 06:25P. Slosarczyk113350M. Sikon331111113
LAug 13 · 14:20P. Slosarczyk269890M. Sikon331111113
WAug 13 · 08:10P. Slosarczyk541381111113M. Sikon4615117582
LAug 7 · 02:20P. Slosarczyk132650M. Sikon331111113
LJul 15 · 11:25P. Slosarczyk30107130M. Sikon381211153
LJul 15 · 05:15P. Slosarczyk2891180M. Sikon351113113
LJun 24 · 09:00P. Slosarczyk2891090M. Sikon341112113
WJun 24 · 04:30P. Slosarczyk541111811133M. Sikon50781113112
LJun 23 · 09:00P. Slosarczyk27311851M. Sikon4111811113
WJun 23 · 04:30P. Slosarczyk541111137123M. Sikon49581511102
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 20 · 15:10P. Slosarczyk1.85511591J. Nowak1.8511711113LSep 19 · 17:05R. Wojcik1.77111311113P. Slosarczyk1.93715671LSep 19 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.82611110O. Sokolowski1.881113133WSep 19 · 14:45J. Slawomir1.6057110P. Slosarczyk1.971111133LSep 19 · 13:30J. Badura1.6011411113P. Slosarczyk1.98911781WSep 19 · 11:55S. Sojka1.941111671P. Slosarczyk1.6313111113LSep 19 · 11:05S. Sojka1.9411118113P. Slosarczyk1.63771161WSep 19 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk1.8511711113O. Sokolowski1.80511881LSep 19 · 08:45R. Wojcik1.8011179113P. Slosarczyk1.903151161LSep 19 · 07:30J. Badura1.71912188113P. Slosarczyk2.001110161152
M. Sikon10
LSep 20 · 15:35M. Sikon2.20512681S. Szostok1.57111011113LSep 16 · 16:40B. Madej2.20712167123M. Sikon1.5711101411102LSep 16 · 15:55K. Hetnar1.3311411113M. Sikon2.85811561WSep 16 · 13:55J. Pelka1.6799100M. Sikon2.001111123WSep 16 · 13:10P. Kurek1.65611671M. Sikon2.0511911113WSep 16 · 11:30M. Rus2.601311141172M. Sikon1.41159163113LSep 16 · 10:40B. Madej2.25111157113M. Sikon1.5884111112LSep 16 · 09:55K. Hetnar1.3311119153M. Sikon2.858611131WSep 16 · 07:55J. Pelka1.72111110662M. Sikon2.00151211113WSep 16 · 07:10M. Rus2.60711115142M. Sikon1.41115911163
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