TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101191210––––
Rafal Ogon
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:56 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timePawel Slosarczyk to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
12101191210––––
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 21–9 Rafal Ogon Rafal Ogon has won 9 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Slosarczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-9 in 30
Slosarczyk
Correct
gap of 12 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1194 vs Ogon 1072
Slosarczyk
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 0% vs Ogon 20%
Ogon
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 30% vs Ogon 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk -5 · Ogon -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Slosarczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ogon form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 1.40 / Ogon 2.75
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Slosarczyk)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13163759
Slosarczyk1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 86 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it82% 60 of 73
Ogon2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 41 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back12% 12 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk8wins
AwayOgon2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSlosarczyk leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczyk85.7%6 of 7
AwayOgon33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk7Ogon3n = 10Slosarczyk took 7 of 10
S2Slosarczyk7Ogon3n = 10Slosarczyk took 7 of 10
S3Slosarczyk8Ogon2n = 10Slosarczyk took 8 of 10
S4Slosarczyk2Ogon4n = 6Ogon took 4 of 6
S5Slosarczyk4Ogon2n = 6Slosarczyk took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlosarczykOgonS − OBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.637.6+7.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykOgonBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 877 vs 106 / 42137.9%25.2%332 / 877 vs 106 / 421Avg sets wonper match1.71.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.333.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlosarczykSlosarczyk 1.40/Ogon 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.6%
Slosarczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Slosarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 21 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk529111110113R. Ogon4511961272
WJun 21 · 16:50P. Slosarczyk371511113R. Ogon2613940
WMay 11 · 02:20P. Slosarczyk331111113R. Ogon196850
WMay 10 · 20:20P. Slosarczyk5411111110113R. Ogon4613681272
WApr 20 · 02:20P. Slosarczyk341211113R. Ogon2410770
LApr 19 · 20:20P. Slosarczyk4612591192R. Ogon521011119113
WApr 12 · 22:25P. Slosarczyk331111113R. Ogon214980
LApr 12 · 20:00P. Slosarczyk51128111192R. Ogon47141147113
WApr 6 · 01:35P. Slosarczyk531161114113R. Ogon5071171692
WApr 5 · 19:35P. Slosarczyk5311111010113R. Ogon4688121262
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 20 · 18:00P. Slosarczyk1.93791181O. Sokolowski1.7711118113LSep 20 · 16:25P. Slosarczyk1.9561191282M. Sikon1.741161110113LSep 20 · 15:10P. Slosarczyk1.85511591J. Nowak1.8511711113LSep 19 · 17:05R. Wojcik1.77111311113P. Slosarczyk1.93715671LSep 19 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.82611110O. Sokolowski1.881113133WSep 19 · 14:45J. Slawomir1.6057110P. Slosarczyk1.971111133LSep 19 · 13:30J. Badura1.6011411113P. Slosarczyk1.98911781WSep 19 · 11:55S. Sojka1.941111671P. Slosarczyk1.6313111113LSep 19 · 11:05S. Sojka1.9411118113P. Slosarczyk1.63771161WSep 19 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk1.8511711113O. Sokolowski1.80511881
R. Ogon10
LSep 20 · 18:25R. Ogon4.55811111132S. Szostok1.10118137113LSep 20 · 16:50R. Ogon2.5551111862J. Nowak1.45117711113LSep 20 · 16:00O. Sokolowski1.331111123R. Ogon3.0058100WSep 14 · 02:20R. Ogon2.2011716113R. Adach1.605111481LSep 14 · 24:45S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.404360LSep 14 · 24:00I. Szymanski1.801161211123R. Ogon1.90711149102LSep 13 · 23:10R. Ogon5.00113118102P. Polok1.12811911123LSep 13 · 22:00R. Ogon2.42812861G. Sawicki1.46111011113LSep 13 · 20:00R. Ogon3.756850K. Juszczyk1.221111113WSep 13 · 18:45R. Ogon3.20114812113S. Krupa1.27911111092
Upcoming Matches
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