TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Oliwier Sokolowski
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151181210––––
Rafal Ogon
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:06 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1151181210––––
H2H Oliwier Sokolowski 0–2 Rafal Ogon Oliwier Sokolowski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Sokolowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1327 vs Ogon 1090
Sokolowski
Correct
both rated, 237 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 40% vs Ogon 20%
Sokolowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 50% vs Ogon 20%
Sokolowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski -1 · Ogon +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ogon form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 1.33 / Ogon 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Sokolowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13159537
Sokolowski1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 80 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it82% 59 of 72
Ogon3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 14) · back after a break
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 41 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back12% 12 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSokolowski0wins
AwayOgon2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderOgon leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSokolowskiOgonS − OBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match33.540.0−6.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiOgonBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 562 vs 107 / 42843.1%25%242 / 562 vs 107 / 428Avg sets wonper match1.81.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.233.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiSokolowski 1.33/Ogon 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.1%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 7 · 21:10O. Sokolowski4111511952R. Ogon45611611113
LJun 7 · 16:50O. Sokolowski2696110R. Ogon351111133
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 19 · 04:40G. Sawicki1.901111153O. Sokolowski1.7559130WSep 19 · 03:55R. Adach2.2881070O. Sokolowski1.451112113WSep 19 · 01:55D. Fira1.957960O. Sokolowski1.621111113LSep 19 · 01:10K. Juszczyk1.481111113O. Sokolowski2.202440LSep 18 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.95118129123O. Sokolowski1.626111011102LSep 18 · 22:40G. Sawicki1.70111117113O. Sokolowski2.00781981WSep 18 · 21:55R. Adach2.2513780O. Sokolowski1.571511113LSep 18 · 19:55D. Fira1.801110116113O. Sokolowski1.8591271192WSep 18 · 19:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.0071171192O. Sokolowski1.71118114113WSep 18 · 17:30K. Juszczyk1.618117111O. Sokolowski2.2011711133
R. Ogon10
WSep 14 · 02:20R. Ogon2.2011716113R. Adach1.605111481LSep 14 · 24:45S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.404360LSep 14 · 24:00I. Szymanski1.801161211123R. Ogon1.90711149102LSep 13 · 23:10R. Ogon5.00113118102P. Polok1.12811911123LSep 13 · 22:00R. Ogon2.42812861G. Sawicki1.46111011113LSep 13 · 20:00R. Ogon3.756850K. Juszczyk1.221111113WSep 13 · 18:45R. Ogon3.20114812113S. Krupa1.27911111092LSep 13 · 17:35R. Ogon2.501161031R. Adach1.4691112113LSep 13 · 16:25G. Sawicki1.49111110123R. Ogon2.346812101LSep 13 · 15:35R. Ogon4.0091210P. Polok1.201114113
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