TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
2.37
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1177111181113118
Sebastian Szostok
Away
1.52
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:52 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
1177111181113118
H2H Mateusz Sikon 4–6 Sebastian Szostok Mateusz Sikon has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Szostok beat Sikon 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:52What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (61%)
Szostok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Szostok
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1352 vs Szostok 1418
Szostok
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 60% vs Szostok 40%
Sikon
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 60% vs Szostok 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon +2 · Szostok -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (40%) is below what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 2.37 / Szostok 1.52
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Szostok)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13163739
Sikon2.37
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog34% won 99 of 290
Down 0–1, comes back15% 27 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 114
Szostok1.52
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 330 of 512
Up 2–0, closes it94% 125 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it80% 212 of 266
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikon4wins
AwaySzostok6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon80%4 of 5
AwaySzostok100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon5Szostok5n = 10split evenly
S2Sikon5Szostok5n = 10split evenly
S3Sikon4Szostok6n = 10Szostok took 6 of 10
S4Sikon3Szostok5n = 8Szostok took 5 of 8
S5Sikon3Szostok3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikonSzostokSikon − SzostokBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.044.8−3.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 430 vs 910 / 157038.8%58%167 / 430 vs 910 / 1570Avg sets wonper match1.72.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.540.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSikon 2.37/Szostok 1.52
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 15:35M. Sikon31512681S. Szostok43111011113
LAug 26 · 13:30M. Sikon49118101282S. Szostok539111210113
LAug 26 · 07:20M. Sikon33711961S. Szostok4111811113
WAug 11 · 21:45M. Sikon531191110123S. Szostok48611912102
WAug 11 · 17:45M. Sikon50117116153S. Szostok50611911132
WJul 22 · 24:10M. Sikon511211116113S. Szostok50108131182
LJul 15 · 09:25M. Sikon3991131152S. Szostok49119117113
WJul 15 · 03:25M. Sikon361111143S. Szostok2897120
LJun 30 · 22:35M. Sikon2578100S. Szostok341111123
LJun 30 · 15:00M. Sikon43510111252S. Szostok521112810113
M. Sikon10
WSep 20 · 22:25R. Ogon3.0010680M. Sikon1.341211113WSep 20 · 20:00M. Sikon1.3312114113R. Ogon3.001041191WSep 20 · 18:45M. Sikon1.9011126113O. Sokolowski1.765101181LSep 20 · 17:35M. Sikon1.80118101182J. Nowak1.86711128113WSep 20 · 16:25P. Slosarczyk1.9561191282M. Sikon1.741161110113LSep 20 · 15:35M. Sikon2.20512681S. Szostok1.57111011113LSep 16 · 16:40B. Madej2.20712167123M. Sikon1.5711101411102LSep 16 · 15:55K. Hetnar1.3311411113M. Sikon2.85811561WSep 16 · 13:55J. Pelka1.6799100M. Sikon2.001111123WSep 16 · 13:10P. Kurek1.65611671M. Sikon2.0511911113
S. Szostok10
WSep 20 · 20:45P. Slosarczyk2.8591260S. Szostok1.361114113LSep 20 · 19:35S. Szostok1.401158161J. Nowak2.7571111183WSep 20 · 18:25R. Ogon4.55811111132S. Szostok1.10118137113LSep 20 · 17:10O. Sokolowski2.6011712153S. Szostok1.4131110131WSep 20 · 15:35M. Sikon2.20512681S. Szostok1.57111011113LSep 18 · 14:20W. Urban2.251111113S. Szostok1.574980WSep 18 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.3881381492S. Szostok1.5311111112113WSep 18 · 11:25K. Hetnar1.836790S. Szostok1.831111113WSep 18 · 10:35L. Oracz1.9191161172S. Szostok1.80114118113WSep 18 · 09:00J. Pelka2.5013128101S. Szostok1.50151011123
Upcoming Matches
M. Sikon
S. Szostok
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.