Mateusz Sikon vs Rafal Ogon 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Sep 20Finished

Mateusz Sikon

Home

1.33

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1210114411119––

Rafal Ogon

Away

3.00

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:55 and never touched — 64.6% is still 64.6%

Graded at full time

Mateusz Sikon to win

64.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

72 points played in total.

Set by set

1210114411119––

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:55

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.33 (69%)

Sikon

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Sikon 1348 vs Ogon 1062

Sikon

Correct

both rated, 287 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Sikon 40% vs Ogon 20%

Sikon

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Sikon 50% vs Ogon 10%

Sikon

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Sikon +1 · Ogon -4

Ogon

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Sikon) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Ogon form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSikon 1.33 / Ogon 3.00

Signal prob.72% / 28%

Edge (Sikon)+2.8pp

TT Elite Series · #13163752

Sikon1.33

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite53% won 56 of 106

Up 2–0, closes it83% 20 of 24

Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48

Ogon3.00

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog27% won 41 of 151

Down 0–1, comes back12% 12 of 101

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 66

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricSikonOgonBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 429 vs 106 / 42238.7%25.1%166 / 429 vs 106 / 422Avg sets wonper match1.71.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.533.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Sikon

Sikon 1.33/Ogon 3.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

72.1%

Sikon · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Sikon won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Sikon10