TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1178111012118811
Jakub Nowak
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:22 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeMateusz Sikon to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
1178111012118811
H2H Mateusz Sikon 9–8 Jakub Nowak Jakub Nowak has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:22What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sikon
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1351 vs Nowak 1205
Sikon
Wrong
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 40% vs Nowak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 50% vs Nowak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon +1 · Nowak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sikon) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowak form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 1.80 / Nowak 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sikon)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13163069
Sikon1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 56 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Nowak1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 236 of 653
Down 0–1, comes back21% 83 of 391
Down 0–2, comes back9% 20 of 228
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikon6wins
AwayNowak4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSikon leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon75%3 of 4
AwayNowak50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon4Nowak6n = 10Nowak took 6 of 10
S2Sikon8Nowak2n = 10Sikon took 8 of 10
S3Sikon4Nowak6n = 10Nowak took 6 of 10
S4Sikon4Nowak4n = 8split evenly
S5Sikon4Nowak2n = 6Sikon took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikonNowakS − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.342.30.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 427 vs 675 / 174738.6%38.6%165 / 427 vs 675 / 1747Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikonSikon 1.80/Nowak 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sikon · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nowak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 04:20M. Sikon45111148113J. Nowak4687111192
WSep 7 · 18:45M. Sikon49911711113J. Nowak4511811782
WSep 2 · 08:45M. Sikon531013118113J. Nowak48121181162
WSep 1 · 22:25M. Sikon371511113J. Nowak3013890
LSep 1 · 03:30M. Sikon32751191J. Nowak3811115113
LAug 31 · 21:30M. Sikon48135101192J. Nowak521111127113
LAug 5 · 24:35M. Sikon4351161382J. Nowak521181111113
LJul 31 · 11:50M. Sikon34711791J. Nowak4111811113
WJul 31 · 03:50M. Sikon491011611113J. Nowak5012911992
WJul 28 · 04:20M. Sikon331111113J. Nowak217770
M. Sikon10
WSep 20 · 16:25P. Slosarczyk1.9561191282M. Sikon1.741161110113LSep 20 · 15:35M. Sikon2.20512681S. Szostok1.57111011113LSep 16 · 16:40B. Madej2.20712167123M. Sikon1.5711101411102LSep 16 · 15:55K. Hetnar1.3311411113M. Sikon2.85811561WSep 16 · 13:55J. Pelka1.6799100M. Sikon2.001111123WSep 16 · 13:10P. Kurek1.65611671M. Sikon2.0511911113WSep 16 · 11:30M. Rus2.601311141172M. Sikon1.41159163113LSep 16 · 10:40B. Madej2.25111157113M. Sikon1.5884111112LSep 16 · 09:55K. Hetnar1.3311119153M. Sikon2.858611131WSep 16 · 07:55J. Pelka1.72111110662M. Sikon2.00151211113
J. Nowak10
WSep 20 · 16:50R. Ogon2.5551111862J. Nowak1.45117711113WSep 20 · 15:10P. Slosarczyk1.85511591J. Nowak1.8511711113LSep 20 · 04:40D. Fira1.801211113J. Nowak1.9010650LSep 20 · 03:55J. Michalski2.401111113J. Nowak1.514930LSep 20 · 01:55R. Szymik1.4491114123J. Nowak2.2911612101LSep 20 · 01:10G. Sawicki1.851111113J. Nowak1.807570LSep 19 · 23:30D. Dytko1.906111211113J. Nowak1.7511814992WSep 19 · 22:40D. Fira1.75101191172J. Nowak1.95128116113LSep 19 · 21:55J. Michalski2.201111113J. Nowak1.577690WSep 19 · 19:55R. Szymik1.509590J. Nowak2.351111113
Upcoming Matches
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