TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Sebastian Szostok
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1175118111618––
Jakub Nowak
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:56 and never touched — 75.8% is still 75.8%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
75.8%
75.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
1175118111618––
H2H Sebastian Szostok 56–16 Jakub Nowak Jakub Nowak has won 16 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Szostok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-16 in 72
Szostok
Wrong
gap of 40 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1459 vs Nowak 1221
Szostok
Wrong
both rated, 237 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 60% vs Nowak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 70% vs Nowak 40%
Szostok
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok +1 · Nowak +3
Nowak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 1.40 / Nowak 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Szostok)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13163756
Szostok1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 330 of 512
Up 2–0, closes it94% 125 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it80% 212 of 266
Nowak2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 236 of 653
Down 0–1, comes back21% 83 of 391
Down 0–2, comes back9% 20 of 228
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostok9wins
AwayNowak1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok100%6 of 6
AwayNowak25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok6Nowak4n = 10Szostok took 6 of 10
S2Szostok4Nowak6n = 10Nowak took 6 of 10
S3Szostok6Nowak4n = 10Szostok took 6 of 10
S4Szostok7Nowak2n = 9Szostok took 7 of 9
S5Szostok4Nowak0n = 4Szostok took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostokNowakS − NBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.541.0+3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime910 / 1569 vs 676 / 174858%38.7%910 / 1569 vs 676 / 1748Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSzostok 1.40/Nowak 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Nowak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok4161311113J. Nowak341111571
WJul 1 · 16:25S. Szostok491011611113J. Nowak4112611842
WJul 1 · 02:10S. Szostok5410101112113J. Nowak46121271052
WJun 30 · 20:05S. Szostok46131111113J. Nowak401191371
WApr 12 · 13:55S. Szostok3711411113J. Nowak30711751
WApr 12 · 07:55S. Szostok51119118123J. Nowak46511911102
WMar 31 · 15:55S. Szostok55178136113J. Nowak561511111182
LMar 31 · 09:55S. Szostok2679100J. Nowak341111123
WMar 9 · 02:30S. Szostok4211713113J. Nowak409111191
WMar 8 · 20:30S. Szostok4413126133J. Nowak43111011111
S. Szostok10
WSep 20 · 18:25R. Ogon4.55811111132S. Szostok1.10118137113LSep 20 · 17:10O. Sokolowski2.6011712153S. Szostok1.4131110131WSep 20 · 15:35M. Sikon2.20512681S. Szostok1.57111011113LSep 18 · 14:20W. Urban2.251111113S. Szostok1.574980WSep 18 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.3881381492S. Szostok1.5311111112113WSep 18 · 11:25K. Hetnar1.836790S. Szostok1.831111113WSep 18 · 10:35L. Oracz1.9191161172S. Szostok1.80114118113WSep 18 · 09:00J. Pelka2.5013128101S. Szostok1.50151011123WSep 18 · 08:10W. Urban2.258187121S. Szostok1.57111611143LSep 18 · 07:20O. Vincenec2.2561311113S. Szostok1.571111851
J. Nowak10
WSep 20 · 17:35M. Sikon1.80118101182J. Nowak1.86711128113WSep 20 · 16:50R. Ogon2.5551111862J. Nowak1.45117711113WSep 20 · 15:10P. Slosarczyk1.85511591J. Nowak1.8511711113LSep 20 · 04:40D. Fira1.801211113J. Nowak1.9010650LSep 20 · 03:55J. Michalski2.401111113J. Nowak1.514930LSep 20 · 01:55R. Szymik1.4491114123J. Nowak2.2911612101LSep 20 · 01:10G. Sawicki1.851111113J. Nowak1.807570LSep 19 · 23:30D. Dytko1.906111211113J. Nowak1.7511814992WSep 19 · 22:40D. Fira1.75101191172J. Nowak1.95128116113LSep 19 · 21:55J. Michalski2.201111113J. Nowak1.577690
Upcoming Matches
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