TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Oliwier Sokolowski
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111159111517––
Sebastian Szostok
Away
1.41
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:27 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
7111159111517––
H2H Oliwier Sokolowski 2–4 Sebastian Szostok Oliwier Sokolowski has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Sokolowski beat Szostok 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Szostok
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1336 vs Szostok 1419
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 60% vs Szostok 40%
Sokolowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 60% vs Szostok 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski -1 · Szostok -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 2.60 / Szostok 1.41
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Szostok)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13166015
Sokolowski2.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 117 of 314
Down 0–1, comes back20% 38 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 115
Szostok1.41
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 330 of 512
Up 2–0, closes it94% 125 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it80% 212 of 266
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSokolowski2wins
AwaySzostok4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderSzostok leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokolowski50%2 of 4
AwaySzostokn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski4Szostok2n = 6Sokolowski took 4 of 6
S2Sokolowski3Szostok3n = 6split evenly
S3Sokolowski1Szostok5n = 6Szostok took 5 of 6
S4Sokolowski2Szostok3n = 5Szostok took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSokolowskiSzostokSokolowski − SzostokBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match37.740.8−3.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 568 vs 911 / 157243.3%58%246 / 568 vs 911 / 1572Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.240.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSokolowski 2.60/Szostok 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.8%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 20 · 17:10O. Sokolowski4511712153S. Szostok3731110131
LJun 2 · 08:20O. Sokolowski361011871S. Szostok3812411113
WMay 30 · 16:20O. Sokolowski4411135153S. Szostok4381111131
LMay 30 · 06:45O. Sokolowski34117881S. Szostok4181111113
LApr 12 · 15:55O. Sokolowski2591150S. Szostok351113113
LApr 12 · 09:55O. Sokolowski4211114792S. Szostok51991111113
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 21 · 24:00R. Ogon3.0581111111O. Sokolowski1.2511135133LSep 20 · 22:00O. Sokolowski1.766101191P. Slosarczyk1.9511127113WSep 20 · 20:20O. Sokolowski1.80119145133J. Nowak1.903111211112LSep 20 · 18:45M. Sikon1.9011126113O. Sokolowski1.765101181WSep 20 · 18:00P. Slosarczyk1.93791181O. Sokolowski1.7711118113WSep 20 · 17:10O. Sokolowski2.6011712153S. Szostok1.4131110131WSep 20 · 16:00O. Sokolowski1.331111123R. Ogon3.0058100LSep 19 · 04:40G. Sawicki1.901111153O. Sokolowski1.7559130WSep 19 · 03:55R. Adach2.2881070O. Sokolowski1.451112113WSep 19 · 01:55D. Fira1.957960O. Sokolowski1.621111113
S. Szostok10
WSep 21 · 24:25P. Slosarczyk2.15115941S. Szostok1.6091111113LSep 20 · 21:35M. Sikon2.371171111113S. Szostok1.5271181382WSep 20 · 20:45P. Slosarczyk2.8591260S. Szostok1.361114113LSep 20 · 19:35S. Szostok1.401158161J. Nowak2.7571111183WSep 20 · 18:25R. Ogon4.55811111132S. Szostok1.10118137113LSep 20 · 17:10O. Sokolowski2.6011712153S. Szostok1.4131110131WSep 20 · 15:35M. Sikon2.20512681S. Szostok1.57111011113LSep 18 · 14:20W. Urban2.251111113S. Szostok1.574980WSep 18 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.3881381492S. Szostok1.5311111112113WSep 18 · 11:25K. Hetnar1.836790S. Szostok1.831111113
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