TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Oliwier Sokolowski
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11391114125111311
Jakub Nowak
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:55 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
11391114125111311
H2H Oliwier Sokolowski 6–4 Jakub Nowak Jakub Nowak has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:55What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sokolowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Sokolowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1346 vs Nowak 1241
Sokolowski
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 60% vs Nowak 80%
Nowak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 50% vs Nowak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski -1 · Nowak +4
Nowak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 1.80 / Nowak 1.90
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Sokolowski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13163750
Sokolowski1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 80 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it82% 59 of 72
Nowak1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 236 of 653
Down 0–1, comes back21% 83 of 391
Down 0–2, comes back9% 20 of 228
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokolowski6wins
AwayNowak4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSokolowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokolowski57.1%4 of 7
AwayNowak33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski7Nowak3n = 10Sokolowski took 7 of 10
S2Sokolowski6Nowak4n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S3Sokolowski6Nowak4n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S4Sokolowski4Nowak4n = 8split evenly
S5Sokolowski1Nowak2n = 3Nowak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokolowskiNowakS − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.338.8+1.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 566 vs 677 / 174743.3%38.8%245 / 566 vs 677 / 1747Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiSokolowski 1.80/Nowak 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.6%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 01:45O. Sokolowski46101212123J. Nowak42121010101
WAug 12 · 08:45O. Sokolowski4271113113J. Nowak361161181
WAug 4 · 22:10O. Sokolowski44111912113J. Nowak47911111062
WJul 30 · 12:40O. Sokolowski331111113J. Nowak218490
WJul 30 · 06:30O. Sokolowski49161111113J. Nowak381461351
LJun 10 · 01:35O. Sokolowski361171171J. Nowak3721113113
LJun 3 · 05:10O. Sokolowski42121433102J. Nowak5610121111123
WMay 31 · 08:45O. Sokolowski331111113J. Nowak208570
LApr 12 · 11:55O. Sokolowski4211712752J. Nowak507111011113
LApr 12 · 05:55O. Sokolowski36791191J. Nowak4111118113
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 20 · 18:45M. Sikon1.9011126113O. Sokolowski1.765101181WSep 20 · 18:00P. Slosarczyk1.93791181O. Sokolowski1.7711118113WSep 20 · 17:10O. Sokolowski2.6011712153S. Szostok1.4131110131WSep 20 · 16:00O. Sokolowski1.331111123R. Ogon3.0058100LSep 19 · 04:40G. Sawicki1.901111153O. Sokolowski1.7559130WSep 19 · 03:55R. Adach2.2881070O. Sokolowski1.451112113WSep 19 · 01:55D. Fira1.957960O. Sokolowski1.621111113LSep 19 · 01:10K. Juszczyk1.481111113O. Sokolowski2.202440LSep 18 · 23:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.95118129123O. Sokolowski1.626111011102LSep 18 · 22:40G. Sawicki1.70111117113O. Sokolowski2.00781981
J. Nowak10
LSep 20 · 21:10R. Ogon2.95121111113J. Nowak1.33149991WSep 20 · 19:35S. Szostok1.401158161J. Nowak2.7571111183WSep 20 · 17:35M. Sikon1.80118101182J. Nowak1.86711128113WSep 20 · 16:50R. Ogon2.5551111862J. Nowak1.45117711113WSep 20 · 15:10P. Slosarczyk1.85511591J. Nowak1.8511711113LSep 20 · 04:40D. Fira1.801211113J. Nowak1.9010650LSep 20 · 03:55J. Michalski2.401111113J. Nowak1.514930LSep 20 · 01:55R. Szymik1.4491114123J. Nowak2.2911612101LSep 20 · 01:10G. Sawicki1.851111113J. Nowak1.807570LSep 19 · 23:30D. Dytko1.906111211113J. Nowak1.7511814992
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