TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 23:50Scheduled
Mariusz Baron
Home
1.58
At publish
Won last 25–5Last 10Won last 2
Head to head
19 – 5
All 24 meetings · 79.2%
Last 10 · 7–3Same side
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
2.02
At publish
Lost last 25–5Last 10Lost last 2
Both players are 5–5 over their last ten. The difference is the direction — Mariusz Baron arrives off a win, Pawel Slosarczyk off a loss, and the streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 6h before this match
Baron beat Slosarczyk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaron 1.58 / Slosarczyk 2.02
TT Elite Series · #13172781
Baron1.58
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 201 of 366
Up 2–0, closes it82% 97 of 118
Up 1–0, closes it68% 144 of 212
Slosarczyk2.02
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 106 of 346
Down 0–1, comes back13% 27 of 205
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaron7wins
AwaySlosarczyk3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBaron leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaron85.7%6 of 7
AwaySlosarczyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baron7Slosarczyk3n = 10Baron took 7 of 10
S2Baron6Slosarczyk4n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S3Baron5Slosarczyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Baron6Slosarczyk3n = 9Baron took 6 of 9
S5Baron2Slosarczyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBaronSlosarczykB − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.838.8+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaronSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime873 / 1823 vs 337 / 88647.9%38%873 / 1823 vs 337 / 886Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.935.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 17:55M. Baron46111113113P. Slosarczyk36571591
WSep 11 · 11:25M. Baron4581115113P. Slosarczyk391181371
LSep 11 · 05:15M. Baron4169111142P. Slosarczyk50111189113
WSep 9 · 22:25M. Baron51118129113P. Slosarczyk40311101152
LAug 10 · 03:05M. Baron33611791P. Slosarczyk4211911113
WAug 9 · 21:05M. Baron571191511113P. Slosarczyk4561117652
WJul 30 · 23:10M. Baron43111011113P. Slosarczyk36812881
LJul 30 · 17:10M. Baron501111101082P. Slosarczyk51791212113
WJul 20 · 01:55M. Baron331111113P. Slosarczyk226880
WJul 19 · 19:55M. Baron3911116113P. Slosarczyk27941131
M. Baron10
WSep 21 · 18:45S. Szostok1.52791211132M. Baron2.301111108153WSep 21 · 17:55M. Baron1.70111113113P. Slosarczyk2.00571591LSep 21 · 04:20P. Adamus1.47111311123M. Baron2.219158101LSep 21 · 03:30G. Marud1.9011611123M. Baron1.802119101WSep 21 · 02:45M. Baron1.881111123O. Vincenec1.6748100WSep 21 · 01:10M. Baron2.161111113P. Kurek1.507560LSep 21 · 24:20W. Urban1.78111116113M. Baron1.9311571192LSep 20 · 23:05M. Baron1.901281111132O. Vincenec1.801011213153LSep 20 · 21:30M. Baron1.9511115992G. Marud1.70361111113WSep 20 · 20:20M. Baron2.05711911123W. Urban1.68116113102
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 21 · 19:30M. Sikon1.8011115113P. Slosarczyk1.90791181LSep 21 · 17:55M. Baron1.70111113113P. Slosarczyk2.00571591WSep 21 · 02:00M. Sikon1.8061060P. Slosarczyk1.901112113WSep 21 · 01:10R. Ogon2.854750P. Slosarczyk1.361111113LSep 21 · 24:25P. Slosarczyk2.15115941S. Szostok1.6091111113WSep 20 · 22:50P. Slosarczyk1.90111111113J. Nowak1.80135661WSep 20 · 22:00O. Sokolowski1.766101191P. Slosarczyk1.9511127113LSep 20 · 20:45P. Slosarczyk2.8591260S. Szostok1.361114113WSep 20 · 19:10P. Slosarczyk1.401211123R. Ogon2.75109100LSep 20 · 18:00P. Slosarczyk1.93791181O. Sokolowski1.7711118113
Upcoming Matches
M. Baron
P. Slosarczyk
Sep 21 · 20:45P. Slosarczyk2.25G. Marud1.54—Sep 21 · 21:55P. Slosarczyk2.40P. Kurek1.50—Sep 21 · 23:05P. Slosarczyk2.60S. Szostok1.41—Sep 22 · 01:10P. Slosarczyk1.87M. Sikon1.68—Sep 22 · 02:10P. Slosarczyk2.62S. Szostok1.37—Sep 22 · 03:55P. Slosarczyk2.39P. Kurek1.41—Sep 22 · 05:05P. Slosarczyk2.27G. Marud1.45—
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