TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Mariusz Baron
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111169111131210
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.68
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
7111169111131210
H2H Mariusz Baron 51–50 Wojciech Urban Wojciech Urban has won 50 of their 101 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Urban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-50 in 101
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baron 1291 vs Urban 1336
Urban
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baron 20% vs Urban 60%
Urban
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baron 50% vs Urban 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Baron +1 · Urban -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (20%) is below what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaron 2.05 / Urban 1.68
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Urban)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13163749
Baron2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 185 of 461
Down 0–1, comes back25% 62 of 249
Down 0–2, comes back9% 12 of 130
Urban1.68
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
As favourite58% won 163 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it99% 66 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it74% 118 of 159
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaron5wins
AwayUrban5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaron83.3%5 of 6
AwayUrban100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baron6Urban4n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S2Baron6Urban4n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S3Baron5Urban5n = 10split evenly
S4Baron5Urban3n = 8Baron took 5 of 8
S5Baron0Urban3n = 3Urban took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBaronUrbanB − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.136.5+3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaronUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime869 / 1814 vs 771 / 163547.9%47.2%869 / 1814 vs 771 / 1635Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanBaron 2.05/Urban 1.68
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Baron won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 05:10M. Baron4011115133W. Urban355811111
LAug 19 · 23:10M. Baron541191110132W. Urban46411412153
WAug 17 · 03:55M. Baron43111011113W. Urban25312551
LAug 16 · 21:55M. Baron4641511882W. Urban521113611113
WAug 9 · 23:55M. Baron3911115123W. Urban346711101
WAug 9 · 17:55M. Baron4111118113W. Urban27551161
LAug 6 · 02:45M. Baron2231180W. Urban351113113
LAug 2 · 23:55M. Baron35913581W. Urban44111111113
WAug 2 · 17:55M. Baron331111113W. Urban175480
LJul 25 · 04:25M. Baron48871111112W. Urban50111169133
M. Baron10
LSep 20 · 21:30M. Baron1.9511115992G. Marud1.70361111113WSep 20 · 18:45M. Baron2.10811811113P. Adamus1.6511711762LSep 20 · 17:30M. Baron2.0981191172P. Kurek1.53115116113LSep 19 · 02:10I. Szymanski3.751111136123M. Baron1.251391111102LSep 19 · 01:25R. Szymik1.571111113M. Baron2.255690LSep 18 · 23:20J. Nowak2.001311118113M. Baron1.7315951182WSep 18 · 22:35A. Szurgot3.75811961M. Baron1.2511211113LSep 18 · 21:00K. Durak1.361110911113M. Baron2.8581211372WSep 18 · 20:05I. Szymanski2.639490M. Baron1.441111113WSep 18 · 19:20J. Kaczmarek1.6751191352M. Baron2.101191111113
W. Urban10
LSep 20 · 21:05P. Adamus1.661112113W. Urban2.1041060LSep 20 · 19:30W. Urban1.76111481162O. Vincenec1.95916112113WSep 20 · 18:20W. Urban1.951111113G. Marud1.769460WSep 20 · 08:45W. Urban1.9311711113W. Pytlas1.77911361WSep 20 · 07:10W. Urban1.8311911113M. Adamus1.83911881LSep 20 · 06:00W. Urban2.6011711692P. Zemla1.41911811113LSep 20 · 04:25W. Urban1.95119881K. Juszczyk1.7491111113LSep 20 · 03:10W. Urban1.908370M. Paszkiewicz1.801111113WSep 19 · 08:45W. Urban2.001111113W. Pytlas1.713750WSep 19 · 07:10W. Urban1.6812145113T. Lojtek2.0510121181
Upcoming Matches
M. Baron
W. Urban
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.