TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Wojciech Urban
Home
1.76
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191416811112611
Oliver Vincenec
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:53 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
1191416811112611
H2H Wojciech Urban 21–16 Oliver Vincenec Oliver Vincenec has won 16 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (53%)
Urban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-16 in 37
Urban
Wrong
gap of 5 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urban 1360 vs Vincenec 1308
Urban
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 60% vs Vincenec 20%
Urban
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 50% vs Vincenec 30%
Urban
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban +3 · Vincenec -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (20%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 1.76 / Vincenec 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Urban)+1.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13163757
Urban1.76
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
As favourite58% won 163 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it99% 66 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it74% 118 of 159
Vincenec1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 189 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back23% 65 of 281
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrban5wins
AwayVincenec5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrban50%2 of 4
AwayVincenec50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urban4Vincenec6n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S2Urban4Vincenec6n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S3Urban7Vincenec3n = 10Urban took 7 of 10
S4Urban6Vincenec4n = 10Urban took 6 of 10
S5Urban2Vincenec3n = 5Vincenec took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbanVincenecU − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.541.4+2.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime771 / 1634 vs 670 / 146947.2%45.6%771 / 1634 vs 670 / 1469Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanUrban 1.76/Vincenec 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 01:30W. Urban4381141192O. Vincenec44118113113
WAug 16 · 19:30W. Urban4381111133O. Vincenec361177111
WAug 5 · 08:45W. Urban45113119113O. Vincenec4481161182
WJul 23 · 07:10W. Urban529111110113O. Vincenec4711691292
LJul 22 · 08:00W. Urban4598111162O. Vincenec48111169113
LJul 15 · 22:00W. Urban346101171O. Vincenec3911125113
WJul 12 · 04:25W. Urban4291111113O. Vincenec31116861
LJul 8 · 02:45W. Urban381113591O. Vincenec4581511113
WJul 2 · 06:45W. Urban4011711113O. Vincenec30811741
LJul 2 · 24:00W. Urban53149121172O. Vincenec501211142113
W. Urban10
WSep 20 · 18:20W. Urban1.951111113G. Marud1.769460WSep 20 · 08:45W. Urban1.9311711113W. Pytlas1.77911361WSep 20 · 07:10W. Urban1.833M. Adamus1.831LSep 20 · 06:00W. Urban2.6011711692P. Zemla1.41911811113LSep 20 · 04:25W. Urban1.95119881K. Juszczyk1.7491111113LSep 20 · 03:10W. Urban1.908370M. Paszkiewicz1.801111113WSep 19 · 08:45W. Urban2.001111113W. Pytlas1.713750WSep 19 · 07:10W. Urban1.6812145113T. Lojtek2.0510121181LSep 19 · 06:00W. Urban1.30431181M. Cesarz3.1511113113LSep 19 · 04:25W. Urban1.83117991J. Pelka1.8381111113
O. Vincenec10
LSep 20 · 17:55P. Adamus1.571112113O. Vincenec2.2591090LSep 18 · 14:40J. Pelka2.00141411113O. Vincenec1.7312121381LSep 18 · 13:30O. Vincenec2.3881381492S. Szostok1.5311111112113WSep 18 · 12:15L. Oracz1.7391090O. Vincenec2.001112113LSep 18 · 11:00W. Urban1.57711811113O. Vincenec2.2511511882LSep 18 · 09:25K. Hetnar1.4071111113O. Vincenec2.75116421LSep 18 · 08:35P. Adamus1.73111110113O. Vincenec2.00861291WSep 18 · 07:20O. Vincenec2.2561311113S. Szostok1.571111851LSep 18 · 06:05J. Pelka1.80115139113O. Vincenec1.91811111192WSep 18 · 04:55W. Urban1.73891391O. Vincenec2.00111111113
Upcoming Matches
W. Urban
Sep 20 · 20:20W. Urban1.68M. Baron2.05—Sep 20 · 21:05W. Urban2.10P. Adamus1.66—Sep 20 · 22:40W. Urban2.00P. Kurek1.71—Sep 21 · 24:20W. Urban1.63M. Baron1.93—Sep 21 · 01:30W. Urban1.65O. Vincenec1.91—Sep 21 · 02:20W. Urban1.90G. Marud1.65—Sep 21 · 03:05W. Urban2.05P. Adamus1.56—Sep 21 · 04:40W. Urban1.98P. Kurek1.60—
O. Vincenec
Sep 20 · 20:45O. Vincenec2.05G. Marud1.66—Sep 20 · 21:55O. Vincenec2.10P. Kurek1.60—Sep 20 · 23:05O. Vincenec1.80M. Baron1.90—Sep 20 · 23:55O. Vincenec2.20P. Adamus1.48—Sep 21 · 01:30O. Vincenec1.91W. Urban1.65—Sep 21 · 02:45O. Vincenec1.67M. Baron1.88—Sep 21 · 03:55O. Vincenec2.12P. Kurek1.52—Sep 21 · 05:05O. Vincenec2.03G. Marud1.57—
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