TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13153402
Played Sep 19Finished
Robert Szymik
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116119––––
Mariusz Baron
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:53 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeRobert Szymik to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRobert Szymik above · Mariusz Baron below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Robert Szymik at 61.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Robert Szymik 13–4 Mariusz Baron Mariusz Baron has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Szymik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-4 in 17
Szymik
Correct
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymik 1323 vs Baron 1322
Szymik
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymik 40% vs Baron 60%
Baron
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymik 40% vs Baron 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymik +1 · Baron -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Szymik) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymik 1.57 / Baron 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Szymik)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13153402
Szymik1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 276 of 399
Up 2–0, closes it96% 158 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it83% 209 of 251
Baron2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 183 of 461
Down 0–1, comes back25% 62 of 250
Down 0–2, comes back9% 12 of 130
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzymik7wins
AwayBaron3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSzymik leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymik71.4%5 of 7
AwayBaron33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymik7Baron3n = 10Szymik took 7 of 10
S2Szymik5Baron5n = 10split evenly
S3Szymik3Baron7n = 10Baron took 7 of 10
S4Szymik6Baron3n = 9Szymik took 6 of 9
S5Szymik4Baron1n = 5Szymik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzymikBaronS − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.439.1+2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymikBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime609 / 939 vs 868 / 181164.9%47.9%609 / 939 vs 868 / 1811Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymikSzymik 1.57/Baron 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Szymik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szymik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 14 · 04:20R. Szymik48118611123M. Baron46711117102
WJun 13 · 18:45R. Szymik47811611113M. Baron4211811572
WMay 28 · 01:10R. Szymik50791111123M. Baron46111195102
WFeb 16 · 05:20R. Szymik331111113M. Baron227780
LFeb 15 · 19:45R. Szymik47119131132M. Baron49311159113
LJan 31 · 03:20R. Szymik291111521M. Baron4313811113
WJan 30 · 19:20R. Szymik4111118113M. Baron25351161
WSep 20 · 24:45R. Szymik43111155113M. Baron4589111162
WSep 19 · 22:20R. Szymik3811511113M. Baron32511791
LMay 27 · 01:55R. Szymik381179111M. Baron4161111133
R. Szymik10
LSep 19 · 02:35K. Durak1.50811117113R. Szymik2.5011981112WSep 19 · 24:10A. Szurgot4.505870R. Szymik1.171111113LSep 18 · 22:55I. Szymanski3.501211113R. Szymik1.2810750LSep 18 · 21:20J. Nowak2.001111113R. Szymik1.735790LSep 13 · 04:20R. Szymik1.3711651172R. Wiza2.70911116113WSep 13 · 03:05R. Szymik1.68511119113A. Szurgot2.0711951162LSep 13 · 01:55R. Szymik1.558118131G. Sawicki2.3011911153LSep 13 · 24:45O. Sokolowski2.2711911113R. Szymik1.52611751WSep 12 · 23:55R. Szymik1.6591111113K. Schaniel2.02116981LSep 12 · 22:20R. Szymik3.251149101P. Gasiorski1.2791111123
M. Baron10
LSep 19 · 02:10I. Szymanski3.751111136123M. Baron1.251391111102LSep 18 · 23:20J. Nowak2.001311118113M. Baron1.7315951182WSep 18 · 22:35A. Szurgot3.75811961M. Baron1.2511211113LSep 18 · 21:00K. Durak1.361110911113M. Baron2.8581211372WSep 18 · 20:05I. Szymanski2.639490M. Baron1.441111113WSep 18 · 19:20J. Kaczmarek1.6751191352M. Baron2.101191111113WSep 18 · 17:20K. Hetnar1.5091090M. Baron2.501112113LSep 18 · 16:35K. Durak1.361210911113M. Baron3.00101211642WSep 18 · 15:00L. Oracz1.614101181M. Baron2.2011126113LSep 17 · 16:40K. Slawinski1.391111113M. Baron2.606570
Upcoming Matches
R. Szymik
Sep 19 · 03:25R. Szymik1.61W. Buczynski2.20—Sep 19 · 04:10R. Szymik1.11A. Szurgot6.00—Sep 19 · 05:15R. Szymik2.20W. Wojtaszczyk1.61—Sep 19 · 06:30R. Szymik1.73P. Mecik2.00—Sep 19 · 07:45R. Szymik2.75P. Polok1.40—Sep 19 · 17:55R. Szymik—J. Michalski——Sep 19 · 18:45R. Szymik—G. Sawicki——Sep 19 · 19:55R. Szymik—J. Nowak——Sep 19 · 21:05R. Szymik—D. Fira——Sep 19 · 22:20R. Szymik—D. Dytko——
M. Baron
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