TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13151845
Played Sep 18Finished
Jakub Nowak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117119––––
Robert Szymik
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRobert Szymik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Nowak above · Robert Szymik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Robert Szymik at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Nowak 20–27 Robert Szymik Jakub Nowak has won 20 of their 47 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:26What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Szymik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-27 in 47
Szymik
Wrong
gap of 7 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nowak 1223 vs Szymik 1363
Szymik
Wrong
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nowak 0% vs Szymik 40%
Szymik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nowak 20% vs Szymik 50%
Szymik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nowak -5 · Szymik -1
Nowak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Szymik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymik form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNowak 2.00 / Szymik 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Szymik)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13151845
Nowak2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog36% won 231 of 646
Down 0–1, comes back21% 82 of 388
Down 0–2, comes back9% 20 of 229
Szymik1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 276 of 399
Up 2–0, closes it96% 158 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it83% 209 of 251
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNowak5wins
AwaySzymik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNowak50%4 of 8
AwaySzymikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nowak8Szymik2n = 10Nowak took 8 of 10
S2Nowak4Szymik6n = 10Szymik took 6 of 10
S3Nowak3Szymik7n = 10Szymik took 7 of 10
S4Nowak3Szymik5n = 8Szymik took 5 of 8
S5Nowak2Szymik1n = 3Nowak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNowakSzymikN − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.541.2−3.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNowakSzymikBasisWin rate · lifetime668 / 1730 vs 613 / 94538.6%64.9%668 / 1730 vs 613 / 945Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymikNowak 2.00/Szymik 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Szymik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nowak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 23:55J. Nowak421299121R. Szymik46101111143
WAug 28 · 17:55J. Nowak49511616113R. Szymik51116111492
LAug 23 · 03:05J. Nowak32146481R. Szymik45121111113
WAug 22 · 21:05J. Nowak45115126113R. Szymik44611101162
WAug 22 · 03:05J. Nowak3811115113R. Szymik33581191
LAug 21 · 21:05J. Nowak481111124102R. Szymik50761411123
WAug 15 · 24:45J. Nowak4012611113R. Szymik391011991
LAug 14 · 22:20J. Nowak32115791R. Szymik4291111113
WAug 9 · 03:05J. Nowak351111133R. Szymik2999110
LAug 8 · 21:05J. Nowak145720R. Szymik331111113
J. Nowak10
LSep 18 · 22:10K. Durak1.2511611113J. Nowak3.75911761LSep 18 · 07:45J. Nowak1.80541181J. Pelka1.9111119113LSep 18 · 06:30J. Nowak2.38761581W. Urban1.53111113113LSep 18 · 05:15J. Nowak2.50121110141S. Szostok1.5014512163LSep 18 · 04:10P. Adamus1.80111011113J. Nowak1.91912781LSep 18 · 03:25J. Nowak1.73711111092O. Vincenec2.00119812113WSep 15 · 08:45W. Urban1.5711471172J. Nowak2.17711118113LSep 15 · 07:35J. Nowak1.9011813101J. Kaczmarek1.80131111123LSep 15 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.61151311173J. Nowak2.1513155151WSep 15 · 05:10M. Cesarz2.60118119102J. Nowak1.41711711123
R. Szymik10
LSep 13 · 04:20R. Szymik1.3711651172R. Wiza2.70911116113WSep 13 · 03:05R. Szymik1.68511119113A. Szurgot2.0711951162LSep 13 · 01:55R. Szymik1.558118131G. Sawicki2.3011911153LSep 13 · 24:45O. Sokolowski2.2711911113R. Szymik1.52611751WSep 12 · 23:55R. Szymik1.6591111113K. Schaniel2.02116981LSep 12 · 22:20R. Szymik3.251149101P. Gasiorski1.2791111123WSep 12 · 21:05R. Szymik1.121111113A. Szurgot4.753380WSep 12 · 19:55R. Szymik1.321211113G. Sawicki2.9510960LSep 12 · 18:45R. Wiza2.8081111113R. Szymik1.36115881WSep 12 · 17:55R. Szymik1.82111116113K. Schaniel1.8811961192
Upcoming Matches
J. Nowak
Sep 18 · 23:20J. Nowak2.00M. Baron1.73—Sep 19 · 24:35J. Nowak1.57I. Szymanski2.25—Sep 19 · 01:45J. Nowak1.30A. Szurgot3.40—Sep 19 · 17:30J. Nowak—G. Sawicki——Sep 19 · 19:10J. Nowak—D. Dytko——Sep 19 · 19:55J. Nowak—R. Szymik——Sep 19 · 21:55J. Nowak—J. Michalski——Sep 19 · 22:40J. Nowak—D. Fira——Sep 19 · 23:30J. Nowak—D. Dytko——Sep 20 · 01:10J. Nowak—G. Sawicki——
R. Szymik
Sep 19 · 24:10R. Szymik1.25A. Szurgot3.75—Sep 19 · 01:25R. Szymik1.57M. Baron2.25—Sep 19 · 02:35R. Szymik2.50K. Durak1.50—Sep 19 · 03:25R. Szymik1.57W. Buczynski2.25—Sep 19 · 04:10R. Szymik1.25A. Szurgot3.75—Sep 19 · 05:15R. Szymik2.20W. Wojtaszczyk1.61—Sep 19 · 06:30R. Szymik1.73P. Mecik2.00—Sep 19 · 07:45R. Szymik2.75P. Polok1.40—Sep 19 · 17:55R. Szymik—J. Michalski——Sep 19 · 18:45R. Szymik—G. Sawicki——
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