TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111012611––––
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:23 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeMateusz Sikon to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
6111012611––––
H2H Mateusz Sikon 8–3 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Sikon beat Slosarczyk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sikon
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Sikon
Wrong
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1341 vs Slosarczyk 1223
Sikon
Wrong
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 60% vs Slosarczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 50% vs Slosarczyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon -2 · Slosarczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Sikon) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 1.80 / Slosarczyk 1.90
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Sikon)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13166001
Sikon1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 56 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Slosarczyk1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 103 of 339
Down 0–1, comes back13% 26 of 201
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikon8wins
AwaySlosarczyk2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSikon leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon88.9%8 of 9
AwaySlosarczykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon9Slosarczyk1n = 10Sikon took 9 of 10
S2Sikon7Slosarczyk3n = 10Sikon took 7 of 10
S3Sikon9Slosarczyk1n = 10Sikon took 9 of 10
S4Sikon2Slosarczyk2n = 4split evenly
S5Sikon1Slosarczyk2n = 3Slosarczyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikonSlosarczykSikon − SlosarczykBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.231.7+7.5per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 434 vs 336 / 88338.9%38.1%169 / 434 vs 336 / 883Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikonSikon 1.80/Slosarczyk 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Sikon · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Slosarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 16:25M. Sikon491161110113P. Slosarczyk4661191282
WSep 2 · 06:25M. Sikon331111113P. Slosarczyk113350
WAug 13 · 14:20M. Sikon331111113P. Slosarczyk269890
LAug 13 · 08:10M. Sikon4615117582P. Slosarczyk541381111113
WAug 7 · 02:20M. Sikon331111113P. Slosarczyk132650
WJul 15 · 11:25M. Sikon381211153P. Slosarczyk30107130
WJul 15 · 05:15M. Sikon351113113P. Slosarczyk2891180
WJun 24 · 09:00M. Sikon341112113P. Slosarczyk2891090
LJun 24 · 04:30M. Sikon50781113112P. Slosarczyk541111811133
WJun 23 · 09:00M. Sikon4111811113P. Slosarczyk27311851
M. Sikon10
LSep 21 · 24:45M. Sikon1.90812981O. Sokolowski1.80111011113LSep 20 · 23:35M. Sikon1.80615111182J. Nowak1.86111767113WSep 20 · 22:25R. Ogon3.0010680M. Sikon1.341211113WSep 20 · 21:35M. Sikon2.371171111113S. Szostok1.5271181382WSep 20 · 20:00M. Sikon1.3312114113R. Ogon3.001041191WSep 20 · 18:45M. Sikon1.9011126113O. Sokolowski1.765101181LSep 20 · 17:35M. Sikon1.80118101182J. Nowak1.86711128113WSep 20 · 16:25P. Slosarczyk1.9561191282M. Sikon1.741161110113LSep 20 · 15:35M. Sikon2.20512681S. Szostok1.57111011113LSep 16 · 16:40B. Madej2.20712167123M. Sikon1.5711101411102
P. Slosarczyk10
WSep 21 · 01:10R. Ogon2.854750P. Slosarczyk1.361111113LSep 21 · 24:25P. Slosarczyk2.15115941S. Szostok1.6091111113WSep 20 · 22:50P. Slosarczyk1.90111111113J. Nowak1.80135661WSep 20 · 22:00O. Sokolowski1.766101191P. Slosarczyk1.9511127113LSep 20 · 20:45P. Slosarczyk2.8591260S. Szostok1.361114113WSep 20 · 19:10P. Slosarczyk1.401211123R. Ogon2.75109100LSep 20 · 18:00P. Slosarczyk1.93791181O. Sokolowski1.7711118113LSep 20 · 16:25P. Slosarczyk1.9561191282M. Sikon1.741161110113LSep 20 · 15:10P. Slosarczyk1.85511591J. Nowak1.8511711113LSep 19 · 17:05R. Wojcik1.77111311113P. Slosarczyk1.93715671
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