TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111191210116––
Grzegorz Marud
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Marud to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
8111191210116––
H2H Mateusz Sikon 6–6 Grzegorz Marud Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Marud
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1324 vs Marud 1439
Marud
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 40% vs Marud 60%
Marud
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 50% vs Marud 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon -3 · Marud +2
Sikon
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Marud) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 2.20 / Marud 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Marud)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13167506
Sikon2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 101 of 294
Down 0–1, comes back15% 27 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 114
Marud1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 131 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it87% 79 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it71% 105 of 149
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikon4wins
AwayMarud6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMarud leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon100%3 of 3
AwayMarud85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon3Marud7n = 10Marud took 7 of 10
S2Sikon3Marud7n = 10Marud took 7 of 10
S3Sikon6Marud4n = 10Sikon took 6 of 10
S4Sikon2Marud7n = 9Marud took 7 of 9
S5Sikon3Marud0n = 3Sikon took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikonMarudS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.042.1−7.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonMarudBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 435 vs 653 / 137438.9%47.5%169 / 435 vs 653 / 1374Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarudSikon 2.20/Marud 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Marud · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 24:10M. Sikon31581171G. Marud3811115113
LSep 7 · 20:20M. Sikon229850G. Marud331111113
LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sikon353128121G. Marud46111011143
WSep 6 · 19:30M. Sikon45111265113G. Marud45710111162
WSep 1 · 24:50M. Sikon47841113113G. Marud50111191182
WAug 31 · 17:30M. Sikon3911611113G. Marud35811971
WAug 4 · 21:45M. Sikon43111118123G. Marud45811511102
LAug 4 · 17:45M. Sikon32581181G. Marud4111118113
LJul 28 · 03:30M. Sikon25741131G. Marud4111118113
LJul 27 · 21:30M. Sikon315151011G. Marud47111312113
M. Sikon10
WSep 21 · 19:30M. Sikon1.8011115113P. Slosarczyk1.90791181LSep 21 · 02:00M. Sikon1.8061060P. Slosarczyk1.901112113LSep 21 · 24:45M. Sikon1.90812981O. Sokolowski1.80111011113LSep 20 · 23:35M. Sikon1.80615111182J. Nowak1.86111767113WSep 20 · 22:25R. Ogon3.0010680M. Sikon1.341211113WSep 20 · 21:35M. Sikon2.371171111113S. Szostok1.5271181382WSep 20 · 20:00M. Sikon1.3312114113R. Ogon3.001041191WSep 20 · 18:45M. Sikon1.9011126113O. Sokolowski1.765101181LSep 20 · 17:35M. Sikon1.80118101182J. Nowak1.86711128113WSep 20 · 16:25P. Slosarczyk1.9561191282M. Sikon1.741161110113
G. Marud10
WSep 21 · 05:05G. Marud1.571111113O. Vincenec2.031580WSep 21 · 03:30G. Marud1.9011611123M. Baron1.802119101LSep 21 · 02:20G. Marud1.655860W. Urban1.901111113WSep 21 · 24:45G. Marud1.85971111113P. Adamus1.8511115932LSep 20 · 23:30G. Marud1.7711350P. Kurek1.931311113WSep 20 · 22:20P. Adamus1.7551341692G. Marud1.9511111114113WSep 20 · 21:30M. Baron1.9511115992G. Marud1.70361111113LSep 20 · 20:45G. Marud1.661211781O. Vincenec2.05101311113LSep 20 · 19:10G. Marud1.8611611742P. Kurek1.80911711113LSep 20 · 18:20W. Urban1.951111113G. Marud1.769460
Upcoming Matches
M. Sikon
Sep 21 · 20:20M. Sikon2.60S. Szostok1.41—Sep 21 · 21:05M. Sikon1.95M. Baron1.74—Sep 21 · 22:40M. Sikon2.35P. Kurek1.50—Sep 22 · 24:10M. Sikon2.65S. Szostok1.33—Sep 22 · 01:10M. Sikon1.68P. Slosarczyk1.87—Sep 22 · 01:50M. Sikon2.19G. Marud1.49—Sep 22 · 03:05M. Sikon1.93M. Baron1.63—Sep 22 · 04:40M. Sikon2.30P. Kurek1.44—
G. Marud
Sep 21 · 19:10G. Marud1.86P. Kurek1.80—Sep 21 · 20:45G. Marud1.54P. Slosarczyk2.25—Sep 21 · 21:30G. Marud2.02S. Szostok1.57—Sep 21 · 22:20G. Marud1.66M. Baron2.05—Sep 21 · 23:30G. Marud1.86P. Kurek1.69—Sep 22 · 24:30G. Marud1.59M. Baron2.00—Sep 22 · 01:50G. Marud1.49M. Sikon2.19—Sep 22 · 03:30G. Marud2.09S. Szostok1.53—Sep 22 · 05:05G. Marud1.45P. Slosarczyk2.27—Sep 22 · 15:00G. Marud—M. Adamus——
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