Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Starts Sep 22, 04:30Scheduled

Dawid Michna

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Head to head

31 – 30

All 61 meetings · 50.8%

Last 10 · 6–4Same side

Grzegorz Felkel

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 3

6–4Last 10Won last 3

Grzegorz Felkel arrives on a run of 3 straight wins. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.

Compare players

Same-day rematch · 18h before this match

Felkel beat Michna 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMichna 1.80 / Felkel 1.91

TT Elite Series · #13169903

Michna1.80

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite68% won 77 of 114

Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34

Up 1–0, closes it81% 60 of 74

Felkel1.91

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog35% won 30 of 87

Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 55

Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMichna6wins

AwayFelkel4wins

5 of 10 to a deciderMichna leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMichna60%3 of 5

AwayFelkel40%2 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Michna5Felkel5n = 10split evenly

S2Michna6Felkel4n = 10Michna took 6 of 10

S3Michna5Felkel5n = 10split evenly

S4Michna6Felkel1n = 7Michna took 6 of 7

S5Michna2Felkel3n = 5Felkel took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricMichnaFelkelM − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.536.4+4.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMichnaFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime519 / 946 vs 690 / 116854.9%59.1%519 / 946 vs 690 / 1168Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 21 · 10:50D. Michna226880G. Felkel331111113

WSep 21 · 04:10D. Michna331111113G. Felkel257990

WSep 10 · 14:10D. Michna51911911113G. Felkel3411611512

LSep 10 · 07:25D. Michna48126111182G. Felkel49141167113

LSep 9 · 09:00D. Michna44111111562G. Felkel49861311113

WSep 9 · 07:45D. Michna331111113G. Felkel249780

WAug 27 · 14:10D. Michna4291111113G. Felkel32114891

WAug 27 · 07:45D. Michna3961111113G. Felkel27119251

LAug 26 · 14:10D. Michna4411681182G. Felkel46911114113

WAug 26 · 07:20D. Michna49118811113G. Felkel4591111772

D. Michna10

WSep 21 · 13:20D. Michna1.4461111113J. Kuzmicz2.63116791 LSep 21 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.6712914113D. Michna2.1010111271 LSep 21 · 10:50G. Felkel1.671111113D. Michna2.106880 LSep 21 · 09:20A. Wiecek1.57141011123D. Michna2.2512129101 WSep 21 · 07:45D. Michna2.20711911113M. Jadczyk1.6111811452 LSep 21 · 06:30D. Michna2.1011961172M. Murawski1.67811117113 WSep 21 · 05:15D. Michna1.401311113J. Kuzmicz2.7511560 WSep 21 · 04:10G. Felkel1.807990D. Michna1.911111113 WSep 21 · 03:25D. Michna2.00111179113A. Wiecek1.7399111182 WSep 10 · 14:10D. Michna1.83911911113G. Felkel1.8311611512

G. Felkel10

WSep 21 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.918101171G. Felkel1.8011128113 WSep 21 · 11:40M. Murawski2.202670G. Felkel1.611111113 WSep 21 · 10:50G. Felkel1.671111113D. Michna2.106880 LSep 21 · 09:40G. Felkel1.7311119652M. Jadczyk2.00431111113 LSep 21 · 08:30G. Felkel2.001171071A. Wiecek1.7391112113 WSep 21 · 06:55G. Felkel1.73128711113M. Jadczyk2.00101111472 LSep 21 · 05:40G. Felkel1.61911681M. Murawski2.2011411113 LSep 21 · 04:10G. Felkel1.807990D. Michna1.911111113 WSep 17 · 14:10K. Wloczko2.757870G. Felkel1.401111113 LSep 10 · 14:10D. Michna1.83911911113G. Felkel1.8311611512

Upcoming Matches

D. Michna

Sep 21 · 14:35D. Michna2.00M. Murawski1.73—Sep 22 · 03:45D. Michna2.63J. Kosowski1.44—Sep 22 · 06:05D. Michna2.00A. Wiecek1.73—Sep 22 · 06:55D. Michna2.00M. Murawski1.73—Sep 22 · 07:45D. Michna2.10J. Braun1.67—Sep 22 · 09:20D. Michna1.80G. Felkel1.91—Sep 22 · 10:50D. Michna1.67K. Kolodziej2.10—Sep 22 · 12:05D. Michna2.00A. Wiecek1.73—Sep 22 · 13:20D. Michna2.10J. Braun1.67—

G. Felkel

Sep 22 · 03:00G. Felkel1.73M. Murawski2.00—Sep 22 · 05:15G. Felkel1.40J. Braun2.75—Sep 22 · 07:20G. Felkel1.91A. Wiecek1.80—Sep 22 · 08:05G. Felkel2.25J. Kosowski1.57—Sep 22 · 09:20G. Felkel1.91D. Michna1.80—Sep 22 · 10:00G. Felkel2.25J. Kosowski1.57—Sep 22 · 11:15G. Felkel1.40J. Braun2.75—Sep 22 · 12:30G. Felkel1.53K. Kolodziej2.38—Sep 22 · 13:45G. Felkel1.91A. Wiecek1.80—

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