TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Dawid Michna
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311115116––––
Jakub Kuzmicz
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeDawid Michna to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDawid Michna above · Jakub Kuzmicz below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 57 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Dawid Michna at 66.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Dawid Michna 1–3 Jakub Kuzmicz Dawid Michna has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:48What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Michna
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kuzmicz
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michna 1928 vs Kuzmicz 1948
Kuzmicz
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michna 80% vs Kuzmicz 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michna 60% vs Kuzmicz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Michna +3 · Kuzmicz +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Michna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichna 1.40 / Kuzmicz 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Michna)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13164778
Michna1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 77 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 60 of 74
Kuzmicz2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 122 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back33% 36 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMichna1wins
AwayKuzmicz3wins
Kuzmicz leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichnan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKuzmicz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michna0Kuzmicz4n = 4Kuzmicz took 4 of 4
S2Michna1Kuzmicz3n = 4Kuzmicz took 3 of 4
S3Michna3Kuzmicz1n = 4Michna took 3 of 4
S4Michna1Kuzmicz2n = 3Kuzmicz took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMichnaKuzmiczM − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match34.038.8−4.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichnaKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime516 / 939 vs 695 / 120055%57.9%516 / 939 vs 695 / 1200Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichnaMichna 1.40/Kuzmicz 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Michna · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Michna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LMar 10 · 05:15D. Michna36891181J. Kuzmicz4011117113
LMar 4 · 08:55D. Michna27521191J. Kuzmicz4111118113
LFeb 20 · 21:10D. Michna2151060J. Kuzmicz341112113
WFeb 8 · 20:05D. Michna5291121113J. Kuzmicz401131971
D. Michna10
WSep 21 · 04:10G. Felkel1.807990D. Michna1.911111113WSep 21 · 03:25D. Michna2.00111179113A. Wiecek1.7399111182WSep 10 · 14:10D. Michna1.83911911113G. Felkel1.8311611512LSep 10 · 12:30A. Grela1.831171011113D. Michna1.8351112962WSep 10 · 11:40K. Wloczko1.915970D. Michna1.801111113LSep 10 · 10:50D. Michna1.8311117111K. Kolodziej1.8381311133WSep 10 · 09:40D. Michna2.101311113M. Jadczyk1.6711990LSep 10 · 08:35A. Grela1.671211113D. Michna2.1010990LSep 10 · 07:25D. Michna2.00126111182G. Felkel1.73141167113WSep 10 · 06:15M. Jadczyk1.6771111842D. Michna2.10117611113
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 21 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.67119671J. Kuzmicz2.1081111113WSep 21 · 03:00G. Felkel1.5368111192J. Kuzmicz2.38111159113WSep 18 · 15:45J. Kuzmicz1.2612811113J. Stecyszyn2.951011781LSep 18 · 14:10J. Kuzmicz2.20119101142J. Kosowski1.61711129113WSep 18 · 12:55J. Kuzmicz3.00111656113D. Wederlich1.36714111162WSep 18 · 11:15J. Kuzmicz2.757111115113A. Grela1.4011771792LSep 18 · 10:00J. Kuzmicz2.6381231182J. Zandecki1.441110117113WSep 18 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz2.751311133D. Wederlich1.40117110LSep 18 · 06:30J. Zandecki1.4071111113J. Kuzmicz2.75119941LSep 18 · 05:40A. Grela1.44311119113J. Kuzmicz2.6311471182
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