Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Live

Michal Derco

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Between sets

3 – 2

Not confirmed yet — waiting for the official close

Sets

11911711131012114

Josef Toth

Away

2.20

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingMichal Derco above · Josef Toth below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 11-13

Set 4 · 10-12

Set 5 · 11-4 in play

Point 99 set 5, 11-4

99 points played so far.

H2H Michal Derco 3–4 Josef Toth Michal Derco has won 3 of their 7 meetings.

Last 7 · 3–4Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Toth beat Derco 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDerco 1.61 / Toth 2.20

Czech Liga Pro · #13168524

Derco1.61

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite65% won 20 of 31

Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16

Up 1–0, closes it84% 16 of 19

Toth2.20

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog51% won 26 of 51

Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 7 meetings

HomeDerco3wins

AwayToth4wins

2 of 7 to a deciderToth leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDercon = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayToth80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Derco2Toth5n = 7Toth took 5 of 7

S2Derco4Toth3n = 7Derco took 4 of 7

S3Derco2Toth5n = 7Toth took 5 of 7

S4Derco3Toth1n = 4Derco took 3 of 4

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home114%

3–1Four sets, home114%

3–2Decider, home114%

2–3Decider, away114%

1–3Four sets, away114%

0–3Straight, away229%

These 7 meetings

MetricDercoTothD − TBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match37.936.7+1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDercoTothBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 87 vs 80 / 17354%46.2%47 / 87 vs 80 / 173Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record7

LSep 21 · 07:30M. Derco4010111091J. Toth4112612113

WJul 30 · 09:30M. Derco331111113J. Toth237790

WJul 30 · 07:30M. Derco4211128113J. Toth296101121

LJul 9 · 06:30M. Derco248970J. Toth331111113

LJun 11 · 12:00M. Derco51981211112J. Toth511111106133

WMay 7 · 12:30M. Derco46811511113J. Toth4011911452

LMar 20 · 11:00M. Derco2967160J. Toth401111183

M. Derco10

WSep 21 · 08:00M. Derco1.7311312113A. Kanak2.004111051 LSep 21 · 07:30J. Toth2.7512612113M. Derco1.4010111091 WSep 21 · 06:00M. Derco1.401111113Z. Luksa2.755950 LSep 14 · 08:58M. Derco1.67118881V. Rybar2.1091111113 WSep 14 · 08:30V. Rybar1.80711651M. Derco1.9111911113 LSep 14 · 07:30M. Derco2.0011481162M. Levicky1.73911119113 LSep 14 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311129113M. Derco2.005101191 WAug 20 · 21:14M. Derco2.0281111113T. Navrat1.70118461 LAug 20 · 20:30M. Derco2.63111191342M. Blaha1.44881115113 LAug 20 · 19:00M. Derco1.83118121192T. Navrat1.831311106113

J. Toth10

LSep 21 · 08:30Z. Luksa1.531112113J. Toth2.3871090 WSep 21 · 07:30J. Toth2.7512612113M. Derco1.4010111091 WSep 21 · 06:30A. Kanak1.7399111182J. Toth2.00111195113 WSep 18 · 13:00J. Toth1.67118118113I. Kolenciak2.1061171182 LSep 18 · 12:00A. Kanak1.831911109113J. Toth1.83177121162 LSep 18 · 11:00I. Palmi1.8351111123J. Toth1.831185101 WSep 18 · 10:30J. Toth2.001111113I. Kolenciak1.739930 WSep 9 · 13:30I. Kolenciak1.6166111362J. Toth2.201111511113 WSep 9 · 12:30J. Toth2.101110911123I. Palmi1.67612118102 LSep 9 · 11:00J. Toth1.9181191142I. Kolenciak1.80115117113

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