TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Nemec vs Jaroslav Brynych 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811811––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Nemec to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Nemec above · Jaroslav Brynych below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 60 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Michal Nemec at 61.2%
60 points played in total.
H2H Michal Nemec 18–4 Jaroslav Brynych Jaroslav Brynych has won 4 of their 22 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:56What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Nemec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-4 in 22
Nemec
Wrong
gap of 14 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nemec 1353 vs Brynych 1319
Nemec
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nemec 60% vs Brynych 0%
Nemec
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nemec 50% vs Brynych 30%
Nemec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nemec +1 · Brynych -5
Brynych
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Nemec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brynych form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNemec 1.61 / Brynych 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Nemec)+3.5pp
TT Cup · #13203783
Nemec1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 74 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it77% 48 of 62
Brynych2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog22% won 8 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNemec7wins
AwayBrynych3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNemec leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNemec83.3%5 of 6
AwayBrynych50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nemec6Brynych4n = 10Nemec took 6 of 10
S2Nemec6Brynych4n = 10Nemec took 6 of 10
S3Nemec6Brynych4n = 10Nemec took 6 of 10
S4Nemec6Brynych2n = 8Nemec took 6 of 8
S5Nemec2Brynych2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNemecBrynychN − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.838.1+4.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNemecBrynychBasisWin rate · lifetime360 / 759 vs 47 / 10947.4%43.1%360 / 759 vs 47 / 109Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NemecNemec 1.61/Brynych 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Nemec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Brynych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 16:50M. Nemec4311911123J. Brynych335117101
LAug 16 · 13:20M. Nemec47119101162J. Brynych48911125113
LAug 16 · 11:20M. Nemec47811126102J. Brynych531191011123
WJul 26 · 11:20M. Nemec361114113J. Brynych2661280
WJul 19 · 13:55M. Nemec521191011113J. Brynych4481112582
LJul 19 · 12:50M. Nemec367117111J. Brynych4311811133
WJul 6 · 11:50M. Nemec4291111113J. Brynych33118591
WJul 5 · 06:50M. Nemec331111113J. Brynych227690
WJul 3 · 15:50M. Nemec49114911143J. Brynych49911116122
WJun 12 · 15:20M. Nemec43101111113J. Brynych30126481
M. Nemec10
WSep 27 · 11:20M. Nemec2.25111119113O. Hula1.5793111162LSep 27 · 10:20M. Nemec3.005550R. Zeman1.361111113WSep 24 · 21:58R. Zeman1.36811119132M. Nemec3.00119911153LSep 24 · 20:50M. Nemec3.001013691R. Zeman1.36121111113WSep 24 · 19:20M. Dlask1.83711991M. Nemec1.8311911113WSep 24 · 18:50M. Kolbusovsky2.206990M. Nemec1.611111113LSep 23 · 21:28M. Nemec1.831110811112M. Dlask1.83712115133LSep 23 · 20:20M. Dlask1.73520113113M. Nemec2.00111891192LSep 23 · 19:50L. Vich1.4411116133M. Nemec2.638811111WSep 23 · 18:50M. Nemec2.5061112113Z. Vyskocil1.501181051
J. Brynych10
LSep 27 · 11:50R. Zeman1.3371111113J. Brynych3.25113581LSep 27 · 10:50J. Brynych3.50912111112O. Hula1.281110115133LSep 3 · 17:25J. Brynych1.2811681172O. Sebek3.50611117113LSep 3 · 16:50J. Brynych2.105117101M. Nemec1.6711911123LSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982WSep 3 · 14:50O. Sebek3.2511640J. Brynych1.331311113WAug 28 · 13:23J. Brynych1.5013117183O. Sebek2.5011411161WAug 28 · 12:20O. Sebek2.63411461J. Brynych1.4411711113LAug 28 · 11:50J. Rolik1.911111113J. Brynych1.808440LAug 28 · 10:50J. Brynych2.20711111162F. Musil1.61111348113
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