TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Zeman vs Michal Nemec 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111191199111315
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRadek Zeman above · Michal Nemec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 107 set 5, 13-15
107 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zeman 105–64 Michal Nemec Michal Nemec has won 64 of their 169 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Zeman beat Nemec 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.36 / Nemec 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Zeman)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13192137
Zeman1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 115 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it91% 72 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it80% 91 of 114
Nemec3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 83 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back16% 23 of 145
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman9wins
AwayNemec1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman100%7 of 7
AwayNemec33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman7Nemec3n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S2Zeman9Nemec1n = 10Zeman took 9 of 10
S3Zeman8Nemec2n = 10Zeman took 8 of 10
S4Zeman3Nemec1n = 4Zeman took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanNemecZ − NBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.929.5+7.4per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanNemecBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 612 vs 358 / 75653.3%47.4%326 / 612 vs 358 / 756Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.36/Nemec 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nemec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 20:50R. Zeman45121111113M. Nemec381013691
WSep 20 · 06:20R. Zeman46131111113M. Nemec31155381
WSep 18 · 16:50R. Zeman371113133M. Nemec30811110
WSep 15 · 18:20R. Zeman39211411113M. Nemec4211611952
WSep 13 · 12:20R. Zeman331111113M. Nemec173770
WSep 10 · 20:50R. Zeman371114123M. Nemec28612100
WSep 6 · 13:24R. Zeman331111113M. Nemec257990
LSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman33711871M. Nemec4211911113
WSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman331111113M. Nemec228770
WAug 26 · 20:50R. Zeman331111113M. Nemec208660
R. Zeman10
WSep 24 · 20:50M. Nemec3.001013691R. Zeman1.36121111113WSep 24 · 19:50R. Zeman1.101112113M. Kolbusovsky6.5071070WSep 24 · 18:20M. Dlask2.2065130R. Zeman1.611111153LSep 21 · 21:55J. Mach1.40961112113R. Zeman2.75111161072WSep 21 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.4037100R. Zeman2.751111123WSep 21 · 19:50R. Zeman1.111111113M. Kolbusovsky6.004870LSep 21 · 18:20J. Mach1.5015411113R. Zeman2.501311931LSep 20 · 09:55L. Pour2.631131111113R. Zeman1.4481171372LSep 20 · 08:20R. Zeman1.421174101L. Pour2.6591111123WSep 20 · 07:20R. Zeman1.3311119113O. Sebek3.00491161
M. Nemec10
LSep 24 · 20:50M. Nemec3.001013691R. Zeman1.36121111113WSep 24 · 19:20M. Dlask1.83711991M. Nemec1.8311911113WSep 24 · 18:50M. Kolbusovsky2.206990M. Nemec1.611111113LSep 23 · 21:28M. Nemec1.831110811112M. Dlask1.83712115133LSep 23 · 20:20M. Dlask1.73520113113M. Nemec2.00111891192LSep 23 · 19:50L. Vich1.4411116133M. Nemec2.638811111WSep 23 · 18:50M. Nemec2.5061112113Z. Vyskocil1.501181051WSep 20 · 09:25M. Nemec1.301013911113O. Sebek3.40121111872WSep 20 · 08:50O. Sebek2.3510119121M. Nemec1.5312611143LSep 20 · 07:50M. Nemec1.83511145132L. Pour1.831181211153
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