TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Nemec vs Zbynek Vyskocil 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Michal Nemec
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111181210115––
Zbynek Vyskocil
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:41 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Nemec to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Nemec above · Zbynek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 74 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Michal Nemec at 61.5%
74 points played in total.
H2H Michal Nemec 3–2 Zbynek Vyskocil Zbynek Vyskocil has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:41What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vyskocil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nemec 1330 vs Vyskocil 1468
Vyskocil
Wrong
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nemec 60% vs Vyskocil 20%
Nemec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nemec 60% vs Vyskocil 40%
Nemec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nemec +2 · Vyskocil -3
Vyskocil
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNemec 2.50 / Vyskocil 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Vyskocil)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13182278
Nemec2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 20)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 82 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 84
Vyskocil1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 63 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it71% 49 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeNemec3wins
AwayVyskocil2wins
3 of 5 to a deciderNemec leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNemecn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVyskocil50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nemec1Vyskocil4n = 5Vyskocil took 4 of 5
S2Nemec3Vyskocil2n = 5Nemec took 3 of 5
S3Nemec3Vyskocil2n = 5Nemec took 3 of 5
S4Nemec2Vyskocil1n = 3Nemec took 2 of 3
S5Nemec2Vyskocil1n = 3Nemec took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricNemecVyskocilN − VBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match41.640.0+1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNemecVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 761 vs 295 / 60147.4%49.1%361 / 761 vs 295 / 601Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilNemec 2.50/Vyskocil 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nemec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 6 · 10:50M. Nemec331111113Z. Vyskocil268990
LAug 21 · 19:20M. Nemec2271140Z. Vyskocil351113113
LAug 12 · 18:20M. Nemec48911101172Z. Vyskocil49118127113
WNov 21 · 22:45M. Nemec531191111113Z. Vyskocil4613118682
WNov 21 · 20:40M. Nemec527111310113Z. Vyskocil44112111282
M. Nemec10
LSep 23 · 19:50L. Vich1.4411116133M. Nemec2.638811111WSep 20 · 09:25M. Nemec1.301013911113O. Sebek3.40121111872WSep 20 · 08:50O. Sebek2.3510119121M. Nemec1.5312611143LSep 20 · 07:50M. Nemec1.83511145132L. Pour1.831181211153LSep 20 · 06:20R. Zeman1.41131111113M. Nemec2.60155381WSep 18 · 17:25M. Nemec1.91911911153M. Kolbusovsky1.80118112132LSep 18 · 16:50R. Zeman1.361113133M. Nemec3.00811110LSep 18 · 15:50M. Nemec2.385790P. Cibik1.531111113WSep 18 · 14:20M. Kolbusovsky2.259416101M. Nemec1.57111114123WSep 17 · 21:53M. Dlask1.6799110M. Nemec2.101111133
Z. Vyskocil10
WSep 23 · 19:20M. Dlask2.635470Z. Vyskocil1.441111113LSep 21 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil1.4044120M. Kolbusovsky2.701111143LSep 21 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.4037100R. Zeman2.751111123LSep 21 · 19:20J. Mach2.0011811113Z. Vyskocil1.73911671WSep 21 · 18:50M. Kolbusovsky2.381091171Z. Vyskocil1.5312114113LSep 20 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil1.8510850L. Vich1.851211113LSep 20 · 20:50T. Jr1.73117118113Z. Vyskocil2.0091141142LSep 20 · 19:50Z. Vyskocil1.67991151P. Cibik2.1011118113WSep 20 · 18:20L. Vich2.007180Z. Vyskocil1.731111113WSep 16 · 21:55Z. Vyskocil2.2012116113T. Barsa1.601081181
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