TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Nemec vs Marek Dlask 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Michal Nemec
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11710128111151113
Marek Dlask
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMichal Nemec above · Marek Dlask below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 99 set 5, 11-13
99 points played in total.
H2H Michal Nemec 24–28 Marek Dlask Michal Nemec has won 24 of their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Dlask beat Nemec 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nemec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dlask form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNemec 1.83 / Dlask 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Nemec)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13186332
Nemec1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Dlask1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNemec5wins
AwayDlask5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNemec83.3%5 of 6
AwayDlask100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nemec6Dlask4n = 10Nemec took 6 of 10
S2Nemec5Dlask5n = 10split evenly
S3Nemec5Dlask5n = 10split evenly
S4Nemec6Dlask1n = 7Nemec took 6 of 7
S5Nemec1Dlask4n = 5Dlask took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNemecDlaskN − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.740.3+3.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNemecDlaskBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 756 vs 142 / 30247.5%47%359 / 756 vs 142 / 302Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NemecNemec 1.83/Dlask 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nemec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dlask won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 20:20M. Nemec58111891192M. Dlask50520113113
WSep 17 · 21:53M. Nemec351111133M. Dlask2999110
WSep 17 · 20:50M. Nemec5113177143M. Dlask49111511121
WSep 15 · 21:20M. Nemec5611101311113M. Dlask4571215652
WSep 15 · 19:20M. Nemec331111113M. Dlask197390
LSep 10 · 18:20M. Nemec46109111152M. Dlask49121169113
LAug 26 · 21:20M. Nemec4791111972M. Dlask50119811113
LAug 26 · 18:20M. Nemec229850M. Dlask331111113
WAug 25 · 19:50M. Nemec4411139113M. Dlask356111171
LAug 19 · 19:50M. Nemec4597111172M. Dlask44111129113
M. Nemec10
LSep 23 · 20:20M. Dlask1.73520113113M. Nemec2.00111891192LSep 23 · 19:50L. Vich1.4411116133M. Nemec2.638811111WSep 23 · 18:50M. Nemec2.5061112113Z. Vyskocil1.501181051WSep 20 · 09:25M. Nemec1.301013911113O. Sebek3.40121111872WSep 20 · 08:50O. Sebek2.3510119121M. Nemec1.5312611143LSep 20 · 07:50M. Nemec1.83511145132L. Pour1.831181211153LSep 20 · 06:20R. Zeman1.41131111113M. Nemec2.60155381WSep 18 · 17:25M. Nemec1.91911911153M. Kolbusovsky1.80118112132LSep 18 · 16:50R. Zeman1.361113133M. Nemec3.00811110LSep 18 · 15:50M. Nemec2.385790P. Cibik1.531111113
M. Dlask10
WSep 23 · 20:20M. Dlask1.73520113113M. Nemec2.00111891192LSep 23 · 19:20M. Dlask2.635470Z. Vyskocil1.441111113LSep 23 · 18:20M. Dlask3.25841171L. Vich1.3311119113LSep 17 · 21:53M. Dlask1.6799110M. Nemec2.101111133LSep 17 · 20:50M. Nemec2.6313177143M. Dlask1.44111511121WSep 17 · 19:50M. Dlask1.501111113M. Kolbusovsky2.508260WSep 17 · 18:20O. Sebek2.106770M. Dlask1.671111113LSep 15 · 21:20M. Nemec2.0011101311113M. Dlask1.7371215652LSep 15 · 20:50M. Dlask2.104640R. Zeman1.671111113LSep 15 · 19:20M. Nemec2.001111113M. Dlask1.737390
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