TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Bondarenko vs Yaroslav Makovka 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117117––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:20 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeYurii Bondarenko to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Bondarenko above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Yurii Bondarenko at 75.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Bondarenko 5–2 Yaroslav Makovka Yaroslav Makovka has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:20What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Bondarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Bondarenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarenko 1638 vs Makovka 1527
Bondarenko
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarenko 60% vs Makovka 40%
Bondarenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarenko 70% vs Makovka 40%
Bondarenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarenko -1 · Makovka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Bondarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bondarenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarenko 1.33 / Makovka 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Bondarenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13202597
Bondarenko1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 20 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Makovka3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 46 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBondarenko5wins
AwayMakovka2wins
2 of 7 to a deciderBondarenko leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarenko100%4 of 4
AwayMakovka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarenko4Makovka3n = 7Bondarenko took 4 of 7
S2Bondarenko6Makovka1n = 7Bondarenko took 6 of 7
S3Bondarenko3Makovka4n = 7Makovka took 4 of 7
S4Bondarenko2Makovka2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricBondarenkoMakovkaB − MBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match37.735.0+2.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarenkoMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 94 vs 153 / 38152.1%40.2%49 / 94 vs 153 / 381Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarenkoBondarenko 1.33/Makovka 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Bondarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bondarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 12 · 05:00Y. Bondarenko331111113Y. Makovka248790
WJul 5 · 05:00Y. Bondarenko331111113Y. Makovka229760
WMay 24 · 09:00Y. Bondarenko48711411153Y. Makovka50117118132
LFeb 1 · 07:00Y. Bondarenko389121071Y. Makovka44111012113
LSep 28 · 09:30Y. Bondarenko35911961Y. Makovka4211911113
WSep 21 · 05:00Y. Bondarenko44118311113Y. Makovka4181111472
WAug 17 · 04:30Y. Bondarenko331111113Y. Makovka229670
Y. Bondarenko10
LSep 27 · 09:30Y. Bondarenko1.831184101O. Zhyrnov1.8381111123LSep 27 · 07:00Y. Bondarenko1.80911128102A. Droshchynskyi1.911191011123WSep 27 · 05:00Y. Bondarenko1.501111153O. Varlamov2.5057130WSep 13 · 09:00Y. Bondarenko1.441011711153O. Varlamov2.63128118142WSep 13 · 07:30Y. Bondarenko1.801111113A. Zozulia1.916860LSep 13 · 06:00Y. Bondarenko2.2011861192Y. Holoborodko1.61311116113WSep 13 · 04:30Y. Bondarenko1.83111017113A. Droshchynskyi1.837121531WSep 9 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.00101181162Y. Bondarenko1.73123117113WSep 9 · 15:40Y. Bondarenko1.8011137113M. Tiutiunnyk1.917111171LSep 9 · 14:40Y. Bondarenko1.739890O. Nadporozhskyi2.001111113
Y. Makovka10
LSep 27 · 06:30O. Zhyrnov1.441111113Y. Makovka2.632760WSep 27 · 04:30O. Blashkun1.6711114972Y. Makovka2.10991111113LSep 26 · 17:40Y. Makovka2.75117111172Y. Holoborodko1.40131199113WSep 26 · 15:40V. Ishchuk1.535690Y. Makovka2.381111113LSep 26 · 13:40A. Droshchynskyi1.201111123Y. Makovka4.3374100LSep 26 · 12:40Y. Makovka2.00115791O. Blashkun1.7391111113WSep 26 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.44791161Y. Makovka2.6311117113LSep 20 · 11:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.441131114113Y. Makovka2.6381121682LSep 20 · 10:00Y. Makovka2.63311100Y. Holoborodko1.441113123WSep 20 · 08:00R. Pomin1.40108121162Y. Makovka2.751211105113
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