TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vadym Ishchuk vs Yaroslav Makovka 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611911––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeVadym Ishchuk to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVadym Ishchuk above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Vadym Ishchuk at 60.8%
53 points played in total.
H2H Vadym Ishchuk 1–0 Yaroslav Makovka Yaroslav Makovka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Ishchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ishchuk 1553 vs Makovka 1518
Ishchuk
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchuk 40% vs Makovka 20%
Ishchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchuk 50% vs Makovka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchuk -3 · Makovka -2
Ishchuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Ishchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makovka form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchuk 1.53 / Makovka 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Ishchuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13196393
Ishchuk1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 17 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Makovka2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 44 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeIshchuk1wins
AwayMakovka0wins
Ishchuk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricIshchukMakovkaI − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchukMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 341 vs 151 / 37741.1%40.1%140 / 341 vs 151 / 377Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IshchukIshchuk 1.53/Makovka 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Ishchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Makovka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 1 · 05:35V. Ishchuk331111113Y. Makovka207580
V. Ishchuk10
LSep 26 · 14:40V. Ishchuk2.50117871O. Blashkun1.507111193LSep 26 · 13:10V. Ishchuk2.201271291M. Tiutiunnyk1.61101114103LSep 26 · 11:10V. Ishchuk2.002570Y. Holoborodko1.731111113WSep 14 · 11:35V. Ishchuk2.20111148113Y. Holoborodko1.6198111172WSep 14 · 09:35Y. Volkov2.257860V. Ishchuk1.571111113WSep 14 · 08:35V. Ishchuk1.61116128113O. Karpenko2.20211101162LSep 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.6111117113V. Ishchuk2.20351181LSep 14 · 06:05V. Ishchuk1.801011871A. Troyan1.9112711113WSep 1 · 16:40A. Kotiash2.1041050V. Ishchuk1.671112113WSep 1 · 15:40V. Ishchuk1.73911119133O. Karpenko2.00119911112
Y. Makovka10
LSep 26 · 13:40A. Droshchynskyi1.201111123Y. Makovka4.3374100LSep 26 · 12:40Y. Makovka2.00115791O. Blashkun1.7391111113WSep 26 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.44791161Y. Makovka2.6311117113LSep 20 · 11:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.441131114113Y. Makovka2.6381121682LSep 20 · 10:00Y. Makovka2.63311100Y. Holoborodko1.441113123WSep 20 · 08:00R. Pomin1.40108121162Y. Makovka2.751211105113LSep 20 · 06:00A. Droshchynskyi1.1711117113Y. Makovka4.50591171LSep 20 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.2811112113Y. Makovka3.50761131WSep 19 · 12:05Y. Makovka2.251615710113Y. Kovshun1.571413111282WSep 19 · 10:05I. Efimenko1.44614761Y. Makovka2.63111211113
Upcoming Matches
V. Ishchuk
Nothing scheduled
Y. Makovka
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