TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Zhyrnov vs Yaroslav Makovka 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112117116––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Zhyrnov above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 48 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 67.7%
48 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhyrnov 18–12 Yaroslav Makovka Yaroslav Makovka has won 12 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zhyrnov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-12 in 30
Zhyrnov
Correct
gap of 6 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zhyrnov 1663 vs Makovka 1527
Zhyrnov
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhyrnov 60% vs Makovka 40%
Zhyrnov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhyrnov 50% vs Makovka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhyrnov +1 · Makovka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Zhyrnov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhyrnov 1.44 / Makovka 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Zhyrnov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13202084
Zhyrnov1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 113 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it95% 57 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it85% 87 of 103
Makovka2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 46 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZhyrnov6wins
AwayMakovka4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZhyrnov leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZhyrnov100%5 of 5
AwayMakovka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zhyrnov5Makovka5n = 10split evenly
S2Zhyrnov7Makovka3n = 10Zhyrnov took 7 of 10
S3Zhyrnov7Makovka3n = 10Zhyrnov took 7 of 10
S4Zhyrnov1Makovka3n = 4Makovka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZhyrnovMakovkaZ − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.929.8+6.1per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhyrnovMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 763 vs 153 / 38150.2%40.2%383 / 763 vs 153 / 381Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovZhyrnov 1.44/Makovka 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 06:30O. Zhyrnov331111113Y. Makovka152760
WAug 30 · 05:00O. Zhyrnov511081111113Y. Makovka3612115622
WAug 29 · 16:10O. Zhyrnov331111113Y. Makovka216870
LJul 26 · 08:35O. Zhyrnov398131171Y. Makovka4411157113
LJul 11 · 10:40O. Zhyrnov30101190Y. Makovka361213113
WJul 4 · 15:10O. Zhyrnov361411113Y. Makovka2512580
LJun 14 · 10:00O. Zhyrnov3810111071Y. Makovka4412912113
WJun 13 · 16:40O. Zhyrnov331111113Y. Makovka246990
WJun 7 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov331111113Y. Makovka166460
LMay 24 · 07:00O. Zhyrnov33711961Y. Makovka3711411113
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 27 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.83991161O. Zhyrnov1.8311117113LSep 26 · 12:20A. Derevianko1.361011148113O. Zhyrnov3.00126121162WSep 26 · 11:20V. Savoliuk1.44811118132O. Zhyrnov2.63118411153WSep 26 · 09:50M. Mrykh1.5391181182O. Zhyrnov2.38116117113LSep 26 · 07:50M. Deineha1.831111123O. Zhyrnov1.8355100LSep 26 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko1.40611129113O. Zhyrnov2.75116101152WSep 24 · 19:00O. Zhyrnov2.7511119123V. Savoliuk1.409611101WSep 24 · 17:00M. Mrykh1.444711111O. Zhyrnov2.6311117133LSep 24 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.36511611113O. Zhyrnov3.0011511652LSep 24 · 14:00O. Zhyrnov2.7514880O. Seliuchenko1.401611113
Y. Makovka10
WSep 27 · 04:30O. Blashkun1.6711114972Y. Makovka2.10991111113LSep 26 · 17:40Y. Makovka2.75117111172Y. Holoborodko1.40131199113WSep 26 · 15:40V. Ishchuk1.535690Y. Makovka2.381111113LSep 26 · 13:40A. Droshchynskyi1.201111123Y. Makovka4.3374100LSep 26 · 12:40Y. Makovka2.00115791O. Blashkun1.7391111113WSep 26 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.44791161Y. Makovka2.6311117113LSep 20 · 11:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.441131114113Y. Makovka2.6381121682LSep 20 · 10:00Y. Makovka2.63311100Y. Holoborodko1.441113123WSep 20 · 08:00R. Pomin1.40108121162Y. Makovka2.751211105113LSep 20 · 06:00A. Droshchynskyi1.1711117113Y. Makovka4.50591171
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