TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jan Seeman vs Josef Hanacek 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116911119117––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJan Seeman above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7
75 points played in total.
H2H Jan Seeman 13–16 Josef Hanacek Jan Seeman has won 13 of their 29 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Seeman beat Hanacek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hanacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeeman 2.10 / Hanacek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Hanacek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13196993
Seeman2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 36 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Hanacek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 63 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it81% 42 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeeman3wins
AwayHanacek7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHanacek leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeeman25%1 of 4
AwayHanacek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seeman4Hanacek6n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S2Seeman4Hanacek6n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S3Seeman3Hanacek7n = 10Hanacek took 7 of 10
S4Seeman6Hanacek3n = 9Seeman took 6 of 9
S5Seeman2Hanacek4n = 6Hanacek took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeemanHanacekS − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.646.9−4.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeemanHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 278 vs 237 / 46646.8%50.9%130 / 278 vs 237 / 466Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanacekSeeman 2.10/Hanacek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Hanacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Seeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 20:00J. Seeman4011117113J. Hanacek32671181
LSep 19 · 15:30J. Seeman375111471J. Hanacek4611816113
LAug 9 · 08:00J. Seeman31114881J. Hanacek3961111113
LJul 31 · 09:45J. Seeman51913121162J. Hanacek5611111013113
WJul 27 · 09:09J. Seeman52981112123J. Hanacek511111910102
WJul 27 · 08:00J. Seeman515101112133J. Hanacek521112810112
LJul 25 · 19:45J. Seeman4911881392J. Hanacek539111111113
LJul 24 · 20:28J. Seeman48711614102J. Hanacek551191112123
LJul 24 · 19:30J. Seeman182970J. Hanacek331111113
LFeb 22 · 19:00J. Seeman4914981172J. Hanacek521211117113
J. Seeman10
WSep 25 · 20:00J. Hanacek1.57671181J. Seeman2.2511117113LSep 25 · 19:00K. Jirousek1.7311513113J. Seeman2.008111191LSep 25 · 17:30J. Pina1.4011113123J. Seeman2.756911101LSep 19 · 16:39M. Melisek1.401111103J. Seeman2.758860LSep 19 · 15:30J. Seeman2.105111471J. Hanacek1.6711816113WSep 19 · 14:30J. Seeman3.2511118113M. Melisek1.33291171LSep 19 · 13:30J. Seeman1.73811611L. Krutina2.001191143WSep 17 · 12:29P. Moulis1.731161111112J. Seeman2.00311138133LSep 17 · 11:30J. Seeman1.731311101562J. Jnr2.0011131213113LSep 17 · 10:30J. Seeman1.5711791132L. Krutina2.25811119113
J. Hanacek10
LSep 25 · 20:00J. Hanacek1.57671181J. Seeman2.2511117113LSep 25 · 18:30J. Pina1.61101111103J. Hanacek2.20124791WSep 25 · 18:00K. Jirousek1.80781141J. Hanacek1.9111117113LSep 20 · 20:44J. Hanacek1.80111081192K. Farsky1.91612115113WSep 20 · 19:45L. Tuma1.67511851J. Hanacek2.1011811113WSep 20 · 18:45K. Farsky1.8311211962J. Hanacek1.83511711113LSep 20 · 17:15F. Schmidtmayer1.83111110113J. Hanacek1.83741281WSep 19 · 17:08L. Krutina1.83681161J. Hanacek1.8311118113WSep 19 · 15:30J. Seeman2.105111471J. Hanacek1.6711816113LSep 19 · 15:00J. Hanacek2.207111251L. Krutina1.611171493
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