TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Lukasz Bernacki vs Jan Orszulik 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911711––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
911911711––––
H2H Lukasz Bernacki 2–0 Jan Orszulik Jan Orszulik has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Orszulik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orszulik form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBernacki 2.00 / Orszulik 1.72
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Orszulik)+0.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13196896
Bernacki2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 34 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Orszulik1.72
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 39 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it78% 36 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBernacki2wins
AwayOrszulik0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderBernacki leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBernackiOrszulikB − OBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.035.5+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBernackiOrszulikBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 483 vs 118 / 25350.9%46.6%246 / 483 vs 118 / 253Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrszulikBernacki 2.00/Orszulik 1.72
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Orszulik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Orszulik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMay 1 · 14:45L. Bernacki331111113J. Orszulik249870
WMay 1 · 11:10L. Bernacki45571111113J. Orszulik4711119972
L. Bernacki10
WSep 25 · 21:30R. Wiza2.501110961L. Bernacki1.5091211113WSep 25 · 19:10L. Bernacki1.801111911113J. Badura1.9094111362WSep 25 · 18:20O. Sokolowski2.0581450L. Bernacki1.651116113LSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113LSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113WSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 00:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113WSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151LSep 5 · 22:20R. Szymik1.805151014113L. Bernacki1.851113121292WSep 5 · 21:30R. Wiza2.708680L. Bernacki1.391111113
J. Orszulik10
LSep 25 · 19:30O. Sokolowski2.351113123J. Orszulik1.54911100LSep 25 · 17:55D. Fira2.751291113113J. Orszulik1.37141171122WSep 16 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.2511511113M. Tkocz1.55411971LSep 16 · 00:45J. Orszulik2.458770P. Polok1.491111113LSep 15 · 23:35J. Orszulik1.908760M. Lebek1.801111113LSep 15 · 22:25S. Szostok1.90315611113J. Orszulik1.80111311862WSep 15 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.161111113K. Kowalski4.208870WSep 15 · 20:00J. Orszulik1.80111198123P. Kaczynski1.90751111102LSep 15 · 18:45J. Orszulik2.42116361M. Tkocz1.4641111113WSep 15 · 17:35J. Orszulik1.8511119123K. Juszczyk1.857811101
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