TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Stopin vs Mykhailo Mykhailenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012411––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:37 and never touched — 85.8% is still 85.8%
Graded at full timeOleh Stopin to win
85.8%
85.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Stopin above · Mykhailo Mykhailenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 57 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Oleh Stopin at 85.8%
57 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Stopin 1–2 Mykhailo Mykhailenko Oleh Stopin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Stopin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stopin 1159 vs Mykhailenko 855
Stopin
Wrong
both rated, 304 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stopin 40% vs Mykhailenko 20%
Stopin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stopin 40% vs Mykhailenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stopin +1 · Mykhailenko -3
Mykhailenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Stopin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stopin form (40%) is below what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStopin 1.13 / Mykhailenko 5.50
Signal prob.86% / 14%
Edge (Stopin)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13196845
Stopin1.13
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite77% won 52 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it88% 35 of 40
Mykhailenko5.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 21 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStopin1wins
AwayMykhailenko2wins
Mykhailenko leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stopin1Mykhailenko2n = 3Mykhailenko took 2 of 3
S2Stopin0Mykhailenko3n = 3Mykhailenko took 3 of 3
S3Stopin1Mykhailenko2n = 3Mykhailenko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricStopinMykhailenkoS − MBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match29.035.0−6.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStopinMykhailenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 280 vs 27 / 10052.1%27%146 / 280 vs 27 / 100Avg sets wonper match2.01.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.731.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StopinStopin 1.13/Mykhailenko 5.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
85.8%
Stopin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mykhailenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 26 · 07:00O. Stopin2391040M. Mykhailenko341112113
WJun 4 · 13:10O. Stopin4211911113M. Mykhailenko38911991
LMay 10 · 06:05O. Stopin229490M. Mykhailenko331111113
O. Stopin10
WSep 26 · 05:00O. Stopin1.221411113K. Tsoi4.0012820LSep 20 · 16:40V. Varchenko2.20121311113O. Stopin1.611411351LSep 20 · 15:40O. Stopin2.7510750Y. Korotin1.401211113WSep 20 · 14:40O. Stopin1.6511102S. Kovalenko2.05480LSep 20 · 13:10O. Stopin3.001174111V. Kondratenko1.3671111133WSep 20 · 11:10O. Stopin1.501111113V. Mykhalchenko2.507360LSep 19 · 12:20O. Stopin2.10911116132D. Khavanskyi1.67113511153LSep 19 · 10:20V. Stukalov1.5711118133O. Stopin2.258811111WSep 19 · 09:20O. Stopin1.831111113V. Varchenko1.836880LSep 19 · 08:20V. Mykhalchenko3.001111113O. Stopin1.364580
M. Mykhailenko10
LSep 26 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.253515101D. Kunchurov1.57111113123LSep 25 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko1.917880D. Kunchurov1.801111113LSep 25 · 16:30O. Ponomarenko1.3313126113M. Mykhailenko3.2511101191WSep 25 · 15:30M. Mykhailenko2.63911116143O. Efimov1.44119811122LSep 25 · 14:30K. Vernudin1.20118119123M. Mykhailenko4.33811411102LSep 25 · 13:00M. Mykhailenko8.008370V. Mykhalchenko1.061111113WSep 12 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.10117711113D. Kunchurov1.6761111892WSep 12 · 09:00O. Ponomarenko1.179650M. Mykhailenko4.501111113WSep 12 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.001112117113M. Tkalich1.1491481182LSep 12 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko1.051115113M. Mykhailenko8.5051350
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