TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykhailo Mykhailenko vs Dmytro Kunchurov 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811811––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kunchurov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Mykhailenko above · Dmytro Kunchurov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Dmytro Kunchurov at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Mykhailenko 9–8 Dmytro Kunchurov Dmytro Kunchurov has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kunchurov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhailenko 850 vs Kunchurov 940
Kunchurov
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhailenko 40% vs Kunchurov 60%
Kunchurov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhailenko 50% vs Kunchurov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhailenko -1 · Kunchurov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kunchurov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhailenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhailenko 1.91 / Kunchurov 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kunchurov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13191417
Mykhailenko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 22 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Kunchurov1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 33 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it73% 24 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMykhailenko6wins
AwayKunchurov4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMykhailenko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhailenko62.5%5 of 8
AwayKunchurovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhailenko8Kunchurov2n = 10Mykhailenko took 8 of 10
S2Mykhailenko4Kunchurov6n = 10Kunchurov took 6 of 10
S3Mykhailenko6Kunchurov4n = 10Mykhailenko took 6 of 10
S4Mykhailenko4Kunchurov2n = 6Mykhailenko took 4 of 6
S5Mykhailenko2Kunchurov3n = 5Kunchurov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMykhailenkoKunchurovM − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.936.7+3.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhailenkoKunchurovBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 97 vs 83 / 21426.8%38.8%26 / 97 vs 83 / 214Avg sets wonper match1.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match31.935.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KunchurovMykhailenko 1.91/Kunchurov 1.80
Hit
What we said
54.7%
Kunchurov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kunchurov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko47117711113D. Kunchurov4561111892
LSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko4811811992D. Kunchurov49911711113
WAug 29 · 09:00M. Mykhailenko351111133D. Kunchurov2375110
LAug 28 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko4411881162D. Kunchurov42711112113
WAug 23 · 12:30M. Mykhailenko539111111113D. Kunchurov4511139392
WAug 18 · 14:10M. Mykhailenko3611113113D. Kunchurov31481181
WAug 15 · 07:00M. Mykhailenko371115113D. Kunchurov2861390
WJul 19 · 08:35M. Mykhailenko331111113D. Kunchurov206770
LJul 12 · 11:10M. Mykhailenko4211911652D. Kunchurov49811811113
LJun 20 · 09:00M. Mykhailenko24101040D. Kunchurov351212113
M. Mykhailenko10
LSep 25 · 16:30O. Ponomarenko1.3313126113M. Mykhailenko3.2511101191WSep 25 · 15:30M. Mykhailenko2.63911116143O. Efimov1.44119811122LSep 25 · 14:30K. Vernudin1.20118119123M. Mykhailenko4.33811411102LSep 25 · 13:00M. Mykhailenko8.008370V. Mykhalchenko1.061111113WSep 12 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.10117711113D. Kunchurov1.6761111892WSep 12 · 09:00O. Ponomarenko1.179650M. Mykhailenko4.501111113WSep 12 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.001112117113M. Tkalich1.1491481182LSep 12 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko1.051115113M. Mykhailenko8.5051350WSep 12 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.1061211133S. Kuzko1.6711108111LSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113
D. Kunchurov10
WSep 25 · 17:30O. Efimov3.40121020D. Kunchurov1.301412103WSep 25 · 16:00K. Vernudin1.673970D. Kunchurov2.101111103LSep 25 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko1.251191111153D. Kunchurov3.75131168132WSep 25 · 12:00O. Ponomarenko1.4411116592D. Kunchurov2.63461111113LSep 12 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.10117711113D. Kunchurov1.6761111892WSep 12 · 10:00M. Tkalich2.108760D. Kunchurov1.671111113LSep 12 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko1.2871111133D. Kunchurov3.501166111LSep 12 · 06:30S. Kuzko3.4091111153D. Kunchurov1.301138131LSep 12 · 04:30O. Ponomarenko1.44101111113D. Kunchurov2.63126871WSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113
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