TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Libor Krasl vs Jakub Nemecek Snr 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411911112115118
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeLibor Krasl to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLibor Krasl above · Jakub Nemecek Snr below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 83 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Libor Krasl at 57.7%
83 points played in total.
H2H Libor Krasl 1–0 Jakub Nemecek Snr Jakub Nemecek Snr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Krasl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krasl 1486 vs Snr 1468
Krasl
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krasl 40% vs Snr 20%
Krasl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krasl 70% vs Snr 40%
Krasl
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krasl -2 · Snr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Krasl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrasl 1.61 / Snr 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Krasl)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13191430
Krasl1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 29 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Snr2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 10 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKrasl1wins
AwaySnr0wins
Krasl leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKraslSnrK − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match40.039.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKraslSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 183 vs 61 / 14756.3%41.5%103 / 183 vs 61 / 147Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KraslKrasl 1.61/Snr 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Krasl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krasl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 11 · 19:30L. Krasl4021511123J. Snr3911135101
L. Krasl10
LSep 25 · 19:15L. Krasl2.10471191J. Juppa1.6711116113LSep 25 · 17:15L. Krasl2.20117100T. Bertho1.611311123LSep 11 · 21:08P. Maly1.571112113L. Krasl2.2591070WSep 11 · 19:30L. Krasl1.9121511123J. Snr1.8011135101LSep 11 · 18:30L. Krasl1.914115111P. Maly1.8011911133WSep 11 · 17:30L. Krasl1.40116135113V. Herrmann2.758111111102WAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872WAug 19 · 19:30V. Toman1.834970L. Krasl1.831111113WAug 19 · 19:00L. Krasl1.67116118113K. Farsky2.1081141162WAug 19 · 18:00L. Krasl1.911211139123J. Marhol1.801421111102
J. Snr10
WSep 25 · 17:45J. Juppa1.50511981J. Snr2.5011911113LSep 22 · 20:58T. Bertho1.501111610113J. Snr2.5089111282LSep 22 · 20:00J. Snr1.913670T. Bertho1.801111113LSep 22 · 18:30S. Kalensky1.618111011113J. Snr2.2011812592LSep 22 · 18:00M. Cizek1.73121111113J. Snr2.00145461WSep 20 · 12:45J. Snr1.7381116113O. Chadima2.001121461WSep 20 · 12:00F. Kubos1.6713591172J. Snr2.101111114113LSep 20 · 11:00J. Juppa1.671114113J. Snr2.1091290LSep 20 · 09:30O. Chadima2.00411118113J. Snr1.7311571172LSep 11 · 19:30L. Krasl1.9121511123J. Snr1.8011135101
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