TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jachym Juppa vs Jakub Nemecek Snr 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511119911811––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeJachym Juppa to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJachym Juppa above · Jakub Nemecek Snr below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jachym Juppa at 65.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Juppa 7–7 Jakub Nemecek Snr Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Juppa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juppa 1592 vs Snr 1452
Juppa
Wrong
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juppa 40% vs Snr 20%
Juppa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juppa 70% vs Snr 30%
Juppa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Juppa -1 · Snr -4
Snr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Juppa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuppa 1.50 / Snr 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Juppa)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13191398
Juppa1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 23)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 68 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it66% 55 of 84
Snr2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 22)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 10 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuppa5wins
AwaySnr5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuppa60%3 of 5
AwaySnr60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juppa5Snr5n = 10split evenly
S2Juppa4Snr6n = 10Snr took 6 of 10
S3Juppa7Snr3n = 10Juppa took 7 of 10
S4Juppa4Snr5n = 9Snr took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuppaSnrJ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.137.8+0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuppaSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 847 vs 60 / 14652.5%41.1%445 / 847 vs 60 / 146Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuppaJuppa 1.50/Snr 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Juppa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 11:00J. Juppa361114113J. Snr3091290
LSep 1 · 17:30J. Juppa41101111632J. Snr45122911113
WJan 3 · 14:15J. Juppa43101111113J. Snr34127781
LDec 29 · 12:30J. Juppa31124871J. Snr43101111113
WDec 25 · 19:45J. Juppa50771411113J. Snr45111112472
WDec 7 · 17:00J. Juppa4211118123J. Snr315511101
WAug 24 · 06:15J. Juppa3811511113J. Snr29511671
LJun 21 · 15:15J. Juppa351191051J. Snr3951112113
LJun 14 · 18:45J. Juppa31851171J. Snr4011117113
LJun 7 · 08:25J. Juppa348511101J. Snr4211118123
J. Juppa10
LSep 25 · 18:45J. Juppa1.50611991T. Bertho2.5011911113LSep 23 · 20:58J. Marhol3.001011118113J. Juppa1.3612951192WSep 23 · 20:00J. Juppa1.531111113J. Marhol2.387870LSep 23 · 18:30J. Botka2.7591111113J. Juppa1.40117991WSep 23 · 18:00J. Tichy2.0091141162J. Juppa1.73116116113LSep 20 · 13:15F. Kubos2.001311113J. Juppa1.7311970WSep 20 · 11:30O. Chadima2.101071171J. Juppa1.6712115103WSep 20 · 11:00J. Juppa1.671114113J. Snr2.1091290WSep 20 · 10:00J. Juppa1.61712118113F. Kubos2.20111041192WSep 19 · 16:53J. Juppa1.57119124103V. Herrmann2.25511101162
J. Snr10
LSep 25 · 18:15L. Krasl1.61491111113J. Snr2.2011112582LSep 22 · 20:58T. Bertho1.501111610113J. Snr2.5089111282LSep 22 · 20:00J. Snr1.913670T. Bertho1.801111113LSep 22 · 18:30S. Kalensky1.618111011113J. Snr2.2011812592LSep 22 · 18:00M. Cizek1.73121111113J. Snr2.00145461WSep 20 · 12:45J. Snr1.7381116113O. Chadima2.001121461WSep 20 · 12:00F. Kubos1.6713591172J. Snr2.101111114113LSep 20 · 11:00J. Juppa1.671114113J. Snr2.1091290LSep 20 · 09:30O. Chadima2.00411118113J. Snr1.7311571172WSep 18 · 20:44J. Botka2.007811101J. Snr1.7311114123
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