TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Tadeas Bertho vs Jakub Nemecek Snr 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181196111012118
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Jakub Nemecek Snr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8
97 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 1–0 Jakub Nemecek Snr Jakub Nemecek Snr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Bertho beat Snr 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.50 / Snr 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Bertho)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13180537
Bertho1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 78 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it81% 61 of 75
Snr2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 10 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back33% 4 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBertho1wins
AwaySnr0wins
Bertho leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBerthoSnrB − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.016.0+17.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 680 vs 60 / 14553.4%41.4%363 / 680 vs 60 / 145Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoBertho 1.50/Snr 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 22 · 20:00T. Bertho331111113J. Snr163670
T. Bertho10
WSep 22 · 20:00J. Snr1.913670T. Bertho1.801111113LSep 22 · 19:00M. Cizek1.6716119143T. Bertho2.1014711121LSep 22 · 17:30S. Kalensky2.101111119113T. Bertho1.6713591182WSep 19 · 11:45T. Bertho1.613111011113O. Plyska2.2011912862WSep 19 · 10:15T. Hanke1.67551631T. Bertho2.10111114113WSep 19 · 09:45M. Vana1.83116461T. Bertho1.8361111113LSep 18 · 16:28T. Bertho2.0011137572T. Hanke1.736111111113LSep 18 · 16:00J. Juppa1.5381111113T. Bertho2.38115881LSep 18 · 15:00T. Hanke1.7371113113T. Bertho2.001161141WSep 18 · 13:30Z. Kuksa2.1011651142T. Bertho1.67511116113
J. Snr10
LSep 22 · 20:00J. Snr1.913670T. Bertho1.801111113LSep 22 · 18:30S. Kalensky1.618111011113J. Snr2.2011812592LSep 22 · 18:00M. Cizek1.73121111113J. Snr2.00145461WSep 20 · 12:45J. Snr1.7381116113O. Chadima2.001121461WSep 20 · 12:00F. Kubos1.6713591172J. Snr2.101111114113LSep 20 · 11:00J. Juppa1.671114113J. Snr2.1091290LSep 20 · 09:30O. Chadima2.00411118113J. Snr1.7311571172WSep 18 · 20:44J. Botka2.007811101J. Snr1.7311114123LSep 18 · 19:30J. Snr1.53111111572L. Hendrych2.38891311113WSep 18 · 18:30J. Snr1.7311511113J. Botka2.00811871
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