TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Libor Krasl vs Tadeas Bertho 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11137111012––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLibor Krasl above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 64 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 57.7%
64 points played in total.
H2H Libor Krasl 0–4 Tadeas Bertho Libor Krasl has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Bertho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Bertho
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krasl 1509 vs Bertho 1524
Bertho
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krasl 60% vs Bertho 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krasl 70% vs Bertho 50%
Krasl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krasl -1 · Bertho +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krasl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrasl 2.20 / Bertho 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Bertho)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13191392
Krasl2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 14 days ago (Sep 11) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 6 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Bertho1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 22)
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 77 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it82% 60 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKrasl0wins
AwayBertho4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderBertho leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrasln = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBertho100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krasl0Bertho4n = 4Bertho took 4 of 4
S2Krasl1Bertho3n = 4Bertho took 3 of 4
S3Krasl4Bertho0n = 4Krasl took 4 of 4
S4Krasl0Bertho3n = 3Bertho took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKraslBerthoK − BBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match37.345.0−7.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKraslBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 184 vs 364 / 68157.1%53.5%105 / 184 vs 364 / 681Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoKrasl 2.20/Bertho 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJun 26 · 17:45L. Krasl43711111042T. Bertho50117912113
LFeb 7 · 15:00L. Krasl328101131T. Bertho4111127113
LJan 25 · 11:00L. Krasl3710611101T. Bertho4412119123
L. Krasl10
WSep 25 · 18:15L. Krasl1.61491111113J. Snr2.2011112582LSep 11 · 21:08P. Maly1.571112113L. Krasl2.2591070WSep 11 · 19:30L. Krasl1.9121511123J. Snr1.8011135101LSep 11 · 18:30L. Krasl1.914115111P. Maly1.8011911133WSep 11 · 17:30L. Krasl1.40116135113V. Herrmann2.758111111102WAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872WAug 19 · 19:30V. Toman1.834970L. Krasl1.831111113WAug 19 · 19:00L. Krasl1.67116118113K. Farsky2.1081141162WAug 19 · 18:00L. Krasl1.911211139123J. Marhol1.801421111102WAug 11 · 21:13J. Mejzlik2.0096111182L. Krasl1.73111145113
T. Bertho10
WSep 25 · 18:45J. Juppa1.50611991T. Bertho2.5011911113WSep 22 · 20:58T. Bertho1.501111610113J. Snr2.5089111282WSep 22 · 20:00J. Snr1.913670T. Bertho1.801111113LSep 22 · 19:00M. Cizek1.6716119143T. Bertho2.1014711121LSep 22 · 17:30S. Kalensky2.101111119113T. Bertho1.6713591182WSep 19 · 11:45T. Bertho1.613111011113O. Plyska2.2011912862WSep 19 · 10:15T. Hanke1.67551631T. Bertho2.10111114113WSep 19 · 09:45M. Vana1.83116461T. Bertho1.8361111113LSep 18 · 16:28T. Bertho2.0011137572T. Hanke1.736111111113LSep 18 · 16:00J. Juppa1.5381111113T. Bertho2.38115881
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