TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Martin Bouska vs Michal Stibor 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Martin Bouska
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811118112118––
Michal Stibor
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMartin Bouska above · Michal Stibor below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8
70 points played in total.
H2H Martin Bouska 2–1 Michal Stibor Michal Stibor has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Bouska beat Stibor 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Bouska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bouska form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBouska 1.40 / Stibor 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Bouska)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13188225
Bouska1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite47% won 7 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it60% 6 of 10
Stibor2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 26 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBouska2wins
AwayStibor1wins
Bouska leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bouska2Stibor1n = 3Bouska took 2 of 3
S2Bouska3Stibor0n = 3Bouska took 3 of 3
S3Bouska2Stibor1n = 3Bouska took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBouskaStiborB − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match32.330.0+2.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBouskaStiborBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 71 vs 177 / 33556.3%52.8%40 / 71 vs 177 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BouskaBouska 1.40/Stibor 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Bouska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bouska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 24 · 07:45M. Bouska331111113M. Stibor216870
LSep 17 · 08:18M. Bouska29811371M. Stibor4211911113
WSep 17 · 07:15M. Bouska351111133M. Stibor2797110
M. Bouska10
WSep 24 · 07:45M. Stibor2.206870M. Bouska1.611111113WSep 24 · 06:45P. Wasik1.731112791M. Bouska2.0081411113WSep 24 · 05:15T. Hlavacek1.5081111882M. Bouska2.50119911113WSep 22 · 08:49M. Zelinka2.388890M. Bouska1.531111113WSep 22 · 07:15M. Bouska1.731112113V. Burylov2.0071070WSep 22 · 06:15M. Bouska1.611117113L. Dobias2.2061580LSep 22 · 05:15M. Bouska1.441110861M. Zelinka2.6381211113LSep 20 · 08:48M. Kocvara1.7311612113M. Bouska2.007111091WSep 20 · 07:15M. Bouska1.731111113L. Svoboda2.009440LSep 20 · 06:15M. Bouska1.8371511772M. Kocvara1.831113811113
M. Stibor10
LSep 24 · 07:45M. Stibor2.206870M. Bouska1.611111113WSep 24 · 06:15T. Hlavacek1.301011116122M. Stibor3.40129611143WSep 24 · 05:45P. Wasik1.36121112692M. Stibor3.001461011113LSep 21 · 12:21M. Zelinka1.331111113M. Stibor3.256860LSep 21 · 11:15M. Stibor1.671511911102L. Adam2.10179119123LSep 21 · 10:15M. Stibor1.739580R. Pisa2.001111113WSep 21 · 09:15M. Stibor2.251111113M. Zelinka1.575780WSep 17 · 08:18M. Bouska1.53811371M. Stibor2.3811911113LSep 17 · 07:15M. Stibor1.9197110M. Bouska1.801111133LSep 17 · 06:15M. Stibor2.50811681L. Dobias1.5011711113
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