TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Martin Kocvara
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1176111210119––
Martin Bouska
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMartin Kocvara above · Martin Bouska below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9
77 points played in total.
H2H Martin Kocvara 1–0 Martin Bouska Martin Bouska has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kocvara beat Bouska 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kocvara)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocvara form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocvara 1.73 / Bouska 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kocvara)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13163581
Kocvara1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 29 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it78% 25 of 32
Bouska2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKocvara1wins
AwayBouska0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKocvara leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKocvaraBouskaK − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match54.047.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocvaraBouskaBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 155 vs 34 / 6358.1%54%90 / 155 vs 34 / 63Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocvaraKocvara 1.73/Bouska 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kocvara · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kocvara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 20 · 06:15M. Kocvara541113811113M. Bouska4771511772
M. Kocvara10
WSep 20 · 07:45M. Kocvara1.8391112113V. Burylov1.831181041WSep 20 · 06:15M. Bouska1.8371511772M. Kocvara1.831113811113WSep 20 · 05:45L. Svoboda1.808920M. Kocvara1.911111113WSep 18 · 08:58M. Kocvara1.5011511113P. Fencl2.50511651WSep 18 · 07:45M. Makara2.2071113992M. Kocvara1.611191111113WSep 18 · 06:45R. Pisa1.7312411982M. Kocvara2.001011611113LSep 18 · 05:15P. Fencl2.5013118113M. Kocvara1.501151121WSep 15 · 12:44M. Kocvara2.5071211113T. Liska1.501110341LSep 15 · 11:45T. Liska1.731111113M. Kocvara2.004960WSep 15 · 10:45J. Dolezal2.10771181M. Kocvara1.6711118113
M. Bouska10
WSep 20 · 07:15M. Bouska1.731111113L. Svoboda2.009440LSep 20 · 06:15M. Bouska1.8371511772M. Kocvara1.831113811113WSep 20 · 05:15M. Bouska1.731111113V. Burylov2.008890LSep 17 · 08:18M. Bouska1.53811371M. Stibor2.3811911113WSep 17 · 07:15M. Stibor1.9197110M. Bouska1.801111133LSep 17 · 06:45M. Bouska1.7312119662L. Veigl2.001071111113LSep 17 · 05:45M. Bouska1.61161212772L. Dobias2.2014101411113LJul 18 · 08:33M. Bouska2.6311136992J. Makara1.445111111113LJul 18 · 07:45M. Bouska1.57991261J. Chalupa2.25111110113LJul 18 · 06:15J. Makara1.731111113M. Bouska2.007690
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