TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Martin Bouska
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111513118711711
Martin Kocvara
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Kocvara to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Bouska above · Martin Kocvara below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 101 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Martin Kocvara at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Martin Bouska 0–1 Martin Kocvara Martin Bouska has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kocvara
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bouska 1736 vs Kocvara 1748
Kocvara
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bouska 40% vs Kocvara 80%
Kocvara
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bouska 20% vs Kocvara 60%
Kocvara
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bouska +1 · Kocvara +4
Kocvara
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kocvara)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocvara form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBouska 1.83 / Kocvara 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kocvara)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161534
Bouska1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kocvara1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBouska0wins
AwayKocvara1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKocvara leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBouskaKocvaraB − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match47.054.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBouskaKocvaraBasisWin rate · lifetime34 / 63 vs 89 / 15454%57.8%34 / 63 vs 89 / 154Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocvaraBouska 1.83/Kocvara 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kocvara · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kocvara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 20 · 06:15M. Bouska4771511772M. Kocvara541113811113
M. Bouska10
WSep 20 · 07:15M. Bouska1.731111113L. Svoboda2.009440WSep 20 · 05:15M. Bouska1.731111113V. Burylov2.008890LSep 17 · 08:18M. Bouska1.53811371M. Stibor2.3811911113WSep 17 · 07:15M. Stibor1.9197110M. Bouska1.801111133LSep 17 · 06:45M. Bouska1.7312119662L. Veigl2.001071111113LSep 17 · 05:45M. Bouska1.61161212772L. Dobias2.2014101411113LJul 18 · 08:33M. Bouska2.6311136992J. Makara1.445111111113LJul 18 · 07:45M. Bouska1.57991261J. Chalupa2.25111110113LJul 18 · 06:15J. Makara1.731111113M. Bouska2.007690LJul 18 · 05:45V. Burylov2.0091111113M. Bouska1.73112881
M. Kocvara10
WSep 20 · 05:45L. Svoboda1.808920M. Kocvara1.911111113WSep 18 · 08:58M. Kocvara1.5011511113P. Fencl2.50511651WSep 18 · 07:45M. Makara2.2071113992M. Kocvara1.611191111113WSep 18 · 06:45R. Pisa1.7312411982M. Kocvara2.001011611113LSep 18 · 05:15P. Fencl2.5013118113M. Kocvara1.501151121WSep 15 · 12:44M. Kocvara2.5071211113T. Liska1.501110341LSep 15 · 11:45T. Liska1.731111113M. Kocvara2.004960WSep 15 · 10:45J. Dolezal2.10771181M. Kocvara1.6711118113LSep 15 · 09:15M. Vyskocil1.911112113M. Kocvara1.8081090LSep 13 · 20:14M. Kocvara1.73511911102M. Vyskocil2.00114115123
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