TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13145238
Played Sep 17Finished
Martin Bouska
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119311711––
Michal Stibor
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMartin Bouska above · Michal Stibor below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Martin Bouska 1–0 Michal Stibor Michal Stibor has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Bouska beat Stibor 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Bouska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stibor form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBouska 1.53 / Stibor 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Bouska)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13145238
Bouska1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Stibor2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 24 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBouska1wins
AwayStibor0wins
Bouska leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBouskaStiborB − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.027.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBouskaStiborBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 59 vs 175 / 33154.2%52.9%32 / 59 vs 175 / 331Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BouskaBouska 1.53/Stibor 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Bouska · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stibor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 17 · 07:15M. Bouska351111133M. Stibor2797110
M. Bouska10
WSep 17 · 07:15M. Stibor1.9197110M. Bouska1.801111133LSep 17 · 06:45M. Bouska1.7312119662L. Veigl2.001071111113LSep 17 · 05:45M. Bouska1.61161212772L. Dobias2.2014101411113LJul 18 · 08:33M. Bouska2.6311136992J. Makara1.445111111113LJul 18 · 07:45M. Bouska1.57991261J. Chalupa2.25111110113LJul 18 · 06:15J. Makara1.731111113M. Bouska2.007690LJul 18 · 05:45V. Burylov2.0091111113M. Bouska1.73112881LJul 15 · 08:23L. Dobias2.2511511113M. Bouska1.57511791LJul 15 · 07:15M. Bouska2.38101191192T. Hlavacek1.53125118113WJul 15 · 06:15M. Bouska1.5710111112123L. Dobias2.251271310102
M. Stibor10
LSep 17 · 07:15M. Stibor1.9197110M. Bouska1.801111133LSep 17 · 06:15M. Stibor2.50811681L. Dobias1.5011711113LSep 17 · 05:15M. Stibor1.73714611122L. Veigl2.001112119143LSep 16 · 08:18O. Kaderabek2.637111110113M. Stibor1.4411981282WSep 16 · 07:15M. Stibor1.44911811113O. Kaderabek2.6311611792LSep 16 · 06:15M. Stibor1.67116101192L. Veigl2.10911129113LSep 16 · 05:15M. Stibor1.36811111172M. Makara3.00116135113WSep 11 · 08:43L. Adam2.107750M. Stibor1.671111113WSep 11 · 07:15M. Stibor1.801111114123L. Svoboda1.91813511102LSep 11 · 06:15M. Stibor2.1064100L. Dobias1.671111123
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