TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Martin Kocvara
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111181210114––
Volodymyr Burylov
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Kocvara to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Kocvara above · Volodymyr Burylov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 76 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Martin Kocvara at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Martin Kocvara 4–2 Volodymyr Burylov Volodymyr Burylov has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:16What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Burylov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Kocvara
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocvara 1748 vs Burylov 1707
Kocvara
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocvara 100% vs Burylov 40%
Kocvara
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocvara 70% vs Burylov 50%
Kocvara
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocvara +5 · Burylov -2
Kocvara
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kocvara)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burylov form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocvara 1.83 / Burylov 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kocvara)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161661
Kocvara1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Burylov1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKocvara4wins
AwayBurylov2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderKocvara leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocvara100%3 of 3
AwayBurylov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocvara3Burylov3n = 6split evenly
S2Kocvara5Burylov1n = 6Kocvara took 5 of 6
S3Kocvara3Burylov3n = 6split evenly
S4Kocvara3Burylov2n = 5Kocvara took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKocvaraBurylovK − BBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match41.041.3−0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocvaraBurylovBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 154 vs 206 / 41357.8%49.9%89 / 154 vs 206 / 413Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocvaraKocvara 1.83/Burylov 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kocvara · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kocvara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 4 · 11:30M. Kocvara3611113113V. Burylov37991181
LSep 1 · 05:15M. Kocvara4691112952V. Burylov471141011113
WAug 30 · 18:15M. Kocvara49136711123V. Burylov501111117102
LJul 28 · 07:45M. Kocvara3512111021V. Burylov4614912113
WJul 26 · 11:15M. Kocvara341111123V. Burylov2349100
WJul 25 · 11:15M. Kocvara4661216123V. Burylov45111014101
M. Kocvara10
WSep 20 · 06:15M. Bouska1.8371511772M. Kocvara1.831113811113WSep 20 · 05:45L. Svoboda1.808920M. Kocvara1.911111113WSep 18 · 08:58M. Kocvara1.5011511113P. Fencl2.50511651WSep 18 · 07:45M. Makara2.2071113992M. Kocvara1.611191111113WSep 18 · 06:45R. Pisa1.7312411982M. Kocvara2.001011611113LSep 18 · 05:15P. Fencl2.5013118113M. Kocvara1.501151121WSep 15 · 12:44M. Kocvara2.5071211113T. Liska1.501110341LSep 15 · 11:45T. Liska1.731111113M. Kocvara2.004960WSep 15 · 10:45J. Dolezal2.10771181M. Kocvara1.6711118113LSep 15 · 09:15M. Vyskocil1.911112113M. Kocvara1.8081090
V. Burylov10
WSep 20 · 08:18V. Burylov1.501112113L. Svoboda2.5061080LSep 20 · 06:45L. Svoboda2.00116135113V. Burylov1.73911111192LSep 20 · 05:15M. Bouska1.731111113V. Burylov2.008890WSep 19 · 20:48L. Veigl2.0011111271V. Burylov1.73131310113WSep 19 · 19:15L. Svoboda2.007860V. Burylov1.731111113LSep 19 · 18:45V. Burylov1.83118114102M. Makara1.83411711123LSep 19 · 17:45V. Burylov1.6711126682L. Veigl2.107101111113WSep 18 · 20:43V. Burylov1.8311115113J. Sr1.83181131WSep 18 · 19:45L. Dobias1.73511671V. Burylov2.0011611113LSep 18 · 18:45J. Sr1.91111011133V. Burylov1.807128111
Upcoming Matches
M. Kocvara
Nothing scheduled
V. Burylov
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