TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210118––––
Lukas Svoboda
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Lukas Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8
58 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 4–3 Lukas Svoboda Lukas Svoboda has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Svoboda beat Burylov 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Burylov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.50 / Svoboda 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Burylov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13163450
Burylov1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite40% won 36 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it60% 27 of 45
Svoboda2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 20 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back26% 7 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBurylov4wins
AwaySvoboda3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderBurylov leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurylov100%4 of 4
AwaySvoboda100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov4Svoboda3n = 7Burylov took 4 of 7
S2Burylov3Svoboda4n = 7Svoboda took 4 of 7
S3Burylov3Svoboda3n = 6split evenly
S4Burylov2Svoboda1n = 3Burylov took 2 of 3
S5Burylov2Svoboda1n = 3Burylov took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricBurylovSvobodaB − SBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match39.734.0+5.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 414 vs 80 / 17349.8%46.2%206 / 414 vs 80 / 173Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovBurylov 1.50/Svoboda 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Burylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 20 · 06:45V. Burylov51911111192L. Svoboda46116135113
WSep 19 · 19:15V. Burylov331111113L. Svoboda217860
WSep 18 · 10:30V. Burylov481141111113L. Svoboda4141113762
WJul 15 · 20:13V. Burylov331111113L. Svoboda196850
LJul 15 · 18:45V. Burylov228590L. Svoboda331111113
WAug 26 · 15:45V. Burylov51129118113L. Svoboda44101171152
V. Burylov10
LSep 20 · 07:45M. Kocvara1.8391112113V. Burylov1.831181041LSep 20 · 06:45L. Svoboda2.00116135113V. Burylov1.73911111192LSep 20 · 05:15M. Bouska1.731111113V. Burylov2.008890WSep 19 · 20:48L. Veigl2.0011111271V. Burylov1.73131310113WSep 19 · 19:15L. Svoboda2.007860V. Burylov1.731111113LSep 19 · 18:45V. Burylov1.83118114102M. Makara1.83411711123LSep 19 · 17:45V. Burylov1.6711126682L. Veigl2.107101111113WSep 18 · 20:43V. Burylov1.8311115113J. Sr1.83181131WSep 18 · 19:45L. Dobias1.73511671V. Burylov2.0011611113LSep 18 · 18:45J. Sr1.91111011133V. Burylov1.807128111
L. Svoboda10
LSep 20 · 07:15M. Bouska1.731111113L. Svoboda2.009440WSep 20 · 06:45L. Svoboda2.00116135113V. Burylov1.73911111192LSep 20 · 05:45L. Svoboda1.808920M. Kocvara1.911111113LSep 19 · 20:19M. Makara2.631113113L. Svoboda1.4431180LSep 19 · 19:15L. Svoboda2.007860V. Burylov1.731111113LSep 19 · 18:15L. Svoboda1.6781180L. Veigl2.101113113WSep 19 · 17:15L. Svoboda1.53111112M. Makara2.389710WSep 18 · 13:09T. Liska2.101071161L. Svoboda1.6712117113WSep 18 · 11:30L. Svoboda2.2013114143L. Dobias1.6111911121LSep 18 · 10:30L. Svoboda1.6141113762V. Burylov2.201141111113
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