TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155597
Played Sep 19Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171210611611811
Lukas Veigl
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Burylov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 93 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Volodymyr Burylov at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 5–3 Lukas Veigl Lukas Veigl has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Burylov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Burylov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burylov 1713 vs Veigl 1743
Veigl
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burylov 80% vs Veigl 60%
Burylov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burylov 50% vs Veigl 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burylov +2 · Veigl -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Burylov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veigl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.67 / Veigl 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Burylov)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13155597
Burylov1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite40% won 35 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it61% 26 of 43
Veigl2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 17)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 38 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeBurylov5wins
AwayVeigl3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderBurylov leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurylov83.3%5 of 6
AwayVeigln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov6Veigl2n = 8Burylov took 6 of 8
S2Burylov6Veigl2n = 8Burylov took 6 of 8
S3Burylov3Veigl5n = 8Veigl took 5 of 8
S4Burylov1Veigl4n = 5Veigl took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricBurylovVeiglB − VBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match40.038.6+1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 407 vs 276 / 53250.1%51.9%204 / 407 vs 276 / 532Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovBurylov 1.67/Veigl 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Veigl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJul 31 · 06:15V. Burylov30911100L. Veigl361113123
LMar 2 · 07:45V. Burylov391179121L. Veigl4591111143
WFeb 16 · 09:20V. Burylov49121115113L. Veigl431091771
LFeb 16 · 07:45V. Burylov4791111882L. Veigl51119911113
WFeb 2 · 09:50V. Burylov341111123L. Veigl2468100
WFeb 2 · 08:45V. Burylov471111104113L. Veigl4796121192
WOct 6 · 17:15V. Burylov341211113L. Veigl2410590
V. Burylov10
LSep 19 · 18:45V. Burylov1.83118114102M. Makara1.83411711123WSep 18 · 20:43V. Burylov1.8311115113J. Sr1.83181131WSep 18 · 19:45L. Dobias1.73511671V. Burylov2.0011611113LSep 18 · 18:45J. Sr1.91111011133V. Burylov1.807128111WSep 18 · 17:15A. Snr1.8310990V. Burylov1.831211113WSep 18 · 12:38V. Burylov1.911571011113L. Dobias1.80131112652LSep 18 · 12:00V. Burylov1.83512117112T. Liska1.831110811133WSep 18 · 10:30L. Svoboda1.6141113762V. Burylov2.201141111113LSep 18 · 10:00L. Dobias1.801112143V. Burylov1.91810120LSep 12 · 12:17V. Burylov1.80116951A. Snr1.9181111113
L. Veigl10
WSep 19 · 18:15L. Svoboda1.6781180L. Veigl2.101113113LSep 17 · 08:48L. Veigl2.10109111142L. Dobias1.67121175113LSep 17 · 07:45L. Dobias1.6711411173L. Veigl2.106114151WSep 17 · 06:45M. Bouska1.7312119662L. Veigl2.001071111113WSep 17 · 05:15M. Stibor1.73714611122L. Veigl2.001112119143WSep 16 · 08:44M. Makara2.001171112152L. Veigl1.731311710173LSep 16 · 07:45L. Veigl1.8311710M. Makara1.831311113WSep 16 · 06:15M. Stibor1.67116101192L. Veigl2.10911129113LSep 16 · 05:45O. Kaderabek2.101211910113L. Veigl1.67108111282WSep 10 · 08:33L. Veigl1.6714117113J. Senk2.101291191
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