TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155024
Played Sep 19Finished
Lukas Svoboda
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111113811––––
Lukas Veigl
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:22 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeLukas Svoboda to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Svoboda above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 62 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Lukas Svoboda at 57.4%
62 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Svoboda 9–3 Lukas Veigl Lukas Veigl has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Svoboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-3 in 12
Svoboda
Wrong
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1725 vs Veigl 1753
Veigl
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 80% vs Veigl 60%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 60% vs Veigl 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda +2 · Veigl +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veigl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.67 / Veigl 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Svoboda)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13155024
Svoboda1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 18)
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 27 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it76% 19 of 25
Veigl2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 38 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvoboda8wins
AwayVeigl2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSvoboda leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvoboda83.3%5 of 6
AwayVeigl25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda6Veigl4n = 10Svoboda took 6 of 10
S2Svoboda7Veigl3n = 10Svoboda took 7 of 10
S3Svoboda7Veigl3n = 10Svoboda took 7 of 10
S4Svoboda5Veigl3n = 8Svoboda took 5 of 8
S5Svoboda2Veigl1n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvobodaVeiglS − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.336.2+6.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 167 vs 277 / 53047.3%52.3%79 / 167 vs 277 / 530Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.67/Veigl 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.4%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Veigl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 7 · 14:45L. Svoboda4011117113L. Veigl36791191
WFeb 18 · 21:13L. Svoboda48111266133L. Veigl507101111112
WFeb 18 · 19:45L. Svoboda4291111113L. Veigl26117351
WSep 7 · 14:15L. Svoboda4011612113L. Veigl295111031
WJul 24 · 19:45L. Svoboda331111113L. Veigl247980
WMay 30 · 07:30L. Svoboda341112113L. Veigl1951040
LMay 25 · 13:45L. Svoboda5113818482L. Veigl6011111611113
WApr 22 · 05:45L. Svoboda4381111133L. Veigl281142111
LMar 22 · 18:15L. Svoboda378111171L. Veigl3911134113
WFeb 21 · 06:45L. Svoboda558141111113L. Veigl51111213692
L. Svoboda10
WSep 19 · 17:15L. Svoboda1.53111112M. Makara2.389710WSep 18 · 13:09T. Liska2.101071161L. Svoboda1.6712117113WSep 18 · 11:30L. Svoboda2.2013114143L. Dobias1.6111911121LSep 18 · 10:30L. Svoboda1.6141113762V. Burylov2.201141111113WSep 18 · 09:30L. Svoboda1.67111145113T. Liska2.1093111162WSep 17 · 12:48O. Kaderabek1.6111711852L. Svoboda2.20811611113WSep 17 · 11:15L. Svoboda1.67611611113T. Liska2.1011811592LSep 17 · 10:15L. Svoboda2.101071181O. Kaderabek1.6712116113WSep 17 · 09:15L. Svoboda1.5311121010113M. Makara2.38410121272LSep 13 · 08:54L. Svoboda2.7511850D. Gasparovic1.401311113
L. Veigl10
WSep 19 · 17:45V. Burylov1.6711126682L. Veigl2.107101111113LSep 17 · 08:48L. Veigl2.10109111142L. Dobias1.67121175113LSep 17 · 07:45L. Dobias1.6711411173L. Veigl2.106114151WSep 17 · 06:45M. Bouska1.7312119662L. Veigl2.001071111113WSep 17 · 05:15M. Stibor1.73714611122L. Veigl2.001112119143WSep 16 · 08:44M. Makara2.001171112152L. Veigl1.731311710173LSep 16 · 07:45L. Veigl1.8311710M. Makara1.831311113WSep 16 · 06:15M. Stibor1.67116101192L. Veigl2.10911129113LSep 16 · 05:45O. Kaderabek2.101211910113L. Veigl1.67108111282WSep 10 · 08:33L. Veigl1.6714117113J. Senk2.101291191
Upcoming Matches
L. Svoboda
Nothing scheduled
L. Veigl
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