TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Matus Zelinka vs Martin Bouska 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Matus Zelinka
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811911––––
Martin Bouska
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMatus Zelinka above · Martin Bouska below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11
58 points played in total.
H2H Matus Zelinka 3–3 Martin Bouska Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Bouska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelinka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelinka 2.38 / Bouska 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Bouska)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13176647
Zelinka2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog55% won 24 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back38% 9 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Bouska1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite36% won 4 of 11
Up 2–0, closes it60% 3 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it50% 3 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZelinka3wins
AwayBouska3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelinkan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBouska50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelinka2Bouska4n = 6Bouska took 4 of 6
S2Zelinka4Bouska2n = 6Zelinka took 4 of 6
S3Zelinka3Bouska3n = 6split evenly
S4Zelinka2Bouska1n = 3Zelinka took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricZelinkaBouskaZ − BBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match34.334.0+0.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelinkaBouskaBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 394 vs 36 / 6753.3%53.7%210 / 394 vs 36 / 67Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BouskaZelinka 2.38/Bouska 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Bouska · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bouska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 22 · 05:15M. Zelinka4281211113M. Bouska351110861
LMar 12 · 07:15M. Zelinka194780M. Bouska331111113
LSep 2 · 07:15M. Zelinka2911990M. Bouska351311113
LMay 21 · 08:15M. Zelinka4011119542M. Bouska47951111113
WMay 21 · 07:15M. Zelinka4291111113M. Bouska28117731
WFeb 27 · 06:45M. Zelinka341211113M. Bouska2610970
M. Zelinka10
WSep 22 · 07:45L. Dobias1.8011119101M. Zelinka1.9113611123LSep 22 · 06:45V. Burylov1.80127911113M. Zelinka1.91101111882WSep 22 · 05:15M. Bouska1.441110861M. Zelinka2.6381211113WSep 21 · 12:21M. Zelinka1.331111113M. Stibor3.256860WSep 21 · 11:45R. Pisa2.1051160M. Zelinka1.671113113LSep 21 · 10:45L. Adam2.38118811113M. Zelinka1.5351111662LSep 21 · 09:15M. Stibor2.251111113M. Zelinka1.575780WSep 20 · 12:43R. Pisa2.50661181M. Zelinka1.5011116113WSep 20 · 11:15M. Zelinka1.6111611113O. Kaderabek2.20711591WSep 20 · 10:15M. Zelinka1.731111113R. Pisa2.007980
M. Bouska10
WSep 22 · 07:15M. Bouska1.731112113V. Burylov2.0071070WSep 22 · 06:15M. Bouska1.611117113L. Dobias2.2061580LSep 22 · 05:15M. Bouska1.441110861M. Zelinka2.6381211113LSep 20 · 08:48M. Kocvara1.7311612113M. Bouska2.007111091WSep 20 · 07:15M. Bouska1.731111113L. Svoboda2.009440LSep 20 · 06:15M. Bouska1.8371511772M. Kocvara1.831113811113WSep 20 · 05:15M. Bouska1.731111113V. Burylov2.008890LSep 17 · 08:18M. Bouska1.53811371M. Stibor2.3811911113WSep 17 · 07:15M. Stibor1.9197110M. Bouska1.801111133LSep 17 · 06:45M. Bouska1.7312119662L. Veigl2.001071111113
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