TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Martin Bouska vs Matus Zelinka 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Martin Bouska
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1181012811611––
Matus Zelinka
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Bouska to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Bouska above · Matus Zelinka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 77 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Martin Bouska at 64.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H Martin Bouska 3–2 Matus Zelinka Matus Zelinka has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Bouska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bouska 1726 vs Zelinka 1783
Zelinka
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bouska 40% vs Zelinka 60%
Zelinka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bouska 30% vs Zelinka 70%
Zelinka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bouska -1 · Zelinka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Bouska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelinka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBouska 1.44 / Zelinka 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Bouska)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13172879
Bouska1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite36% won 4 of 11
Up 2–0, closes it60% 3 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it50% 3 of 6
Zelinka2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog55% won 24 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back38% 9 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBouska3wins
AwayZelinka2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderBouska leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBouska66.7%2 of 3
AwayZelinkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bouska3Zelinka2n = 5Bouska took 3 of 5
S2Bouska2Zelinka3n = 5Zelinka took 3 of 5
S3Bouska3Zelinka2n = 5Bouska took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricBouskaZelinkaB − ZBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match33.832.8+1.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBouskaZelinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime34 / 64 vs 208 / 39153.1%53.2%34 / 64 vs 208 / 391Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BouskaBouska 1.44/Zelinka 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Bouska · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zelinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WMar 12 · 07:15M. Bouska331111113M. Zelinka194780
WSep 2 · 07:15M. Bouska351311113M. Zelinka2911990
WMay 21 · 08:15M. Bouska47951111113M. Zelinka4011119542
LMay 21 · 07:15M. Bouska28117731M. Zelinka4291111113
LFeb 27 · 06:45M. Bouska2610970M. Zelinka341211113
M. Bouska10
WSep 22 · 06:15M. Bouska1.611117113L. Dobias2.2061580LSep 20 · 08:48M. Kocvara1.7311612113M. Bouska2.007111091WSep 20 · 07:15M. Bouska1.731111113L. Svoboda2.009440LSep 20 · 06:15M. Bouska1.8371511772M. Kocvara1.831113811113WSep 20 · 05:15M. Bouska1.731111113V. Burylov2.008890LSep 17 · 08:18M. Bouska1.53811371M. Stibor2.3811911113WSep 17 · 07:15M. Stibor1.9197110M. Bouska1.801111133LSep 17 · 06:45M. Bouska1.7312119662L. Veigl2.001071111113LSep 17 · 05:45M. Bouska1.61161212772L. Dobias2.2014101411113LJul 18 · 08:33M. Bouska2.6311136992J. Makara1.445111111113
M. Zelinka10
WSep 21 · 12:21M. Zelinka1.331111113M. Stibor3.256860WSep 21 · 11:45R. Pisa2.1051160M. Zelinka1.671113113LSep 21 · 10:45L. Adam2.38118811113M. Zelinka1.5351111662LSep 21 · 09:15M. Stibor2.251111113M. Zelinka1.575780WSep 20 · 12:43R. Pisa2.50661181M. Zelinka1.5011116113WSep 20 · 11:15M. Zelinka1.6111611113O. Kaderabek2.20711591WSep 20 · 10:15M. Zelinka1.731111113R. Pisa2.007980WSep 20 · 09:15M. Zelinka1.9131111113M. Makara1.80118911LSep 10 · 16:44M. Zelinka1.4010690L. Svoboda2.751211113WSep 10 · 15:45L. Svoboda2.503990M. Zelinka1.501111113
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