TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Martin Bouska vs Volodymyr Burylov 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Martin Bouska
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210117––––
Volodymyr Burylov
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Bouska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Bouska above · Volodymyr Burylov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Martin Bouska at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Martin Bouska 17–21 Volodymyr Burylov Martin Bouska has won 17 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bouska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-21 in 38
Burylov
Wrong
gap of 4 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bouska 1729 vs Burylov 1693
Bouska
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bouska 40% vs Burylov 60%
Burylov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bouska 40% vs Burylov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bouska +1 · Burylov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bouska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bouska form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBouska 1.73 / Burylov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bouska)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13172693
Bouska1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite36% won 4 of 11
Up 2–0, closes it60% 3 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it50% 3 of 6
Burylov2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog55% won 45 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back38% 15 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back26% 5 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBouska5wins
AwayBurylov5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBouska75%3 of 4
AwayBurylov66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bouska4Burylov6n = 10Burylov took 6 of 10
S2Bouska5Burylov5n = 10split evenly
S3Bouska8Burylov2n = 10Bouska took 8 of 10
S4Bouska2Burylov5n = 7Burylov took 5 of 7
S5Bouska2Burylov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBouskaBurylovBouska − BurylovBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.636.8+1.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBouskaBurylovBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 66 vs 211 / 42453%49.8%35 / 66 vs 211 / 424Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BouskaBouska 1.73/Burylov 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bouska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bouska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 05:15M. Bouska331111113V. Burylov258890
LJul 18 · 05:45M. Bouska29112881V. Burylov4291111113
LJul 15 · 05:15M. Bouska47101111782V. Burylov50129711113
WMar 6 · 09:26M. Bouska3741111113V. Burylov28115661
LMar 6 · 06:15M. Bouska33581191V. Burylov3911116113
LFeb 20 · 06:15M. Bouska50991111102V. Burylov47111158123
WDec 3 · 06:15M. Bouska49811118113V. Burylov4011361192
WNov 8 · 09:55M. Bouska491161110113V. Burylov4391131282
LNov 8 · 06:15M. Bouska268990V. Burylov331111113
WOct 28 · 17:43M. Bouska331111113V. Burylov217680
M. Bouska10
WSep 22 · 06:15M. Bouska1.611117113L. Dobias2.2061580LSep 22 · 05:15M. Bouska1.441110861M. Zelinka2.6381211113LSep 20 · 08:48M. Kocvara1.7311612113M. Bouska2.007111091WSep 20 · 07:15M. Bouska1.731111113L. Svoboda2.009440LSep 20 · 06:15M. Bouska1.8371511772M. Kocvara1.831113811113WSep 20 · 05:15M. Bouska1.731111113V. Burylov2.008890LSep 17 · 08:18M. Bouska1.53811371M. Stibor2.3811911113WSep 17 · 07:15M. Stibor1.9197110M. Bouska1.801111133LSep 17 · 06:45M. Bouska1.7312119662L. Veigl2.001071111113LSep 17 · 05:45M. Bouska1.61161212772L. Dobias2.2014101411113
V. Burylov10
WSep 22 · 06:45V. Burylov1.80127911113M. Zelinka1.91101111882WSep 22 · 05:45V. Burylov2.0020117113L. Dobias1.731881171LSep 21 · 08:48V. Burylov2.7511581192P. Wasik1.40311119113LSep 21 · 07:45V. Burylov1.7378150L. Svoboda2.001111173WSep 21 · 06:15P. Wasik1.44914111192V. Burylov2.63111679113WSep 21 · 05:45O. Kaderabek1.73711281V. Burylov2.0011611113LSep 20 · 16:23V. Burylov1.617850L. Svoboda2.201111113LSep 20 · 15:15L. Svoboda2.38712811123V. Burylov1.531110118102LSep 20 · 14:45V. Burylov1.67911118102L. Veigl2.10116611123LSep 20 · 05:15M. Bouska1.731111113V. Burylov2.008890
Upcoming Matches
M. Bouska
Nothing scheduled
V. Burylov
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