TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811511––––
Lukas Svoboda
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Lukas Svoboda below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11
53 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 4–4 Lukas Svoboda Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
They have already met 2 times today · last one 1h before this match
Svoboda beat Burylov 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Burylov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.61 / Svoboda 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Burylov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13165665
Burylov1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite40% won 36 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it60% 27 of 45
Svoboda2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 20 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back26% 7 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeBurylov4wins
AwaySvoboda4wins
4 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurylov80%4 of 5
AwaySvoboda100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov5Svoboda3n = 8Burylov took 5 of 8
S2Burylov3Svoboda5n = 8Svoboda took 5 of 8
S3Burylov4Svoboda3n = 7Burylov took 4 of 7
S4Burylov2Svoboda2n = 4split evenly
S5Burylov2Svoboda2n = 4split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricBurylovSvobodaB − SBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match41.136.3+4.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 417 vs 81 / 17249.6%47.1%207 / 417 vs 81 / 172Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovBurylov 1.61/Svoboda 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 20 · 15:15V. Burylov501110118102L. Svoboda50712811123
LSep 20 · 06:45V. Burylov51911111192L. Svoboda46116135113
WSep 19 · 19:15V. Burylov331111113L. Svoboda217860
WSep 18 · 10:30V. Burylov481141111113L. Svoboda4141113762
WJul 15 · 20:13V. Burylov331111113L. Svoboda196850
LJul 15 · 18:45V. Burylov228590L. Svoboda331111113
WAug 26 · 15:45V. Burylov51129118113L. Svoboda44101171152
V. Burylov10
LSep 20 · 15:15L. Svoboda2.38712811123V. Burylov1.531110118102LSep 20 · 14:45V. Burylov1.67911118102L. Veigl2.10116611123WSep 20 · 13:45V. Burylov1.831111113T. Liska1.837590WSep 20 · 08:18V. Burylov1.501112113L. Svoboda2.5061080LSep 20 · 07:45M. Kocvara1.8391112113V. Burylov1.831181041LSep 20 · 06:45L. Svoboda2.00116135113V. Burylov1.73911111192LSep 20 · 05:15M. Bouska1.731111113V. Burylov2.008890WSep 19 · 20:48L. Veigl2.0011111271V. Burylov1.73131310113WSep 19 · 19:15L. Svoboda2.007860V. Burylov1.731111113LSep 19 · 18:45V. Burylov1.83118114102M. Makara1.83411711123
L. Svoboda10
WSep 20 · 15:15L. Svoboda2.38712811123V. Burylov1.531110118102WSep 20 · 14:15L. Svoboda1.679111193T. Liska2.10117881WSep 20 · 13:15L. Svoboda1.73111268113L. Veigl2.00810111152LSep 20 · 08:18V. Burylov1.501112113L. Svoboda2.5061080LSep 20 · 07:15M. Bouska1.731111113L. Svoboda2.009440WSep 20 · 06:45L. Svoboda2.00116135113V. Burylov1.73911111192LSep 20 · 05:45L. Svoboda1.808920M. Kocvara1.911111113LSep 19 · 20:19M. Makara2.631113113L. Svoboda1.4431180LSep 19 · 19:15L. Svoboda2.007860V. Burylov1.731111113LSep 19 · 18:15L. Svoboda1.6781180L. Veigl2.101113113
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